Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 28 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / SF · 2026

Whisenhunt, Carson

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
18.3% K%
Range
11.6% to 24.3%
Live Δ
yes
Team SF Archetype Offspeed mix artist Age 26 Status IL-60
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
8
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
21
Arsenal6 metrics
26
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.81
3
ERA6.49
6
BB%12.7%
13
K%15.8%
10
xwOBA allowed0.368
7
Barrel allowed7.8%
44
Fastball velo92.8
24
Hard-hit allowed44.8%
10
Whiff%26.1%
75
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-28
Changeup Stuff+105
74
Curveball Stuff+89
0
Fastball Stuff+95
11
Mithrandir Stuff+97
16
Sinker Stuff+98
21
Slider Stuff+99
31
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 35%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Whisenhunt, Carson · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.368 2026-09-14: 0.3682026-09-18: 0.3682026-09-19: 0.3682026-09-20: 0.3682026-09-21: 0.3682026-09-22: 0.3682026-09-23: 0.3682026-09-24: 0.3682026-09-25: 0.3682026-09-26: 0.3682026-09-27: 0.3682026-09-28: 0.368 2026-09-14 2026-09-28 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Whisenhunt, Carson · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 43%43%Whiff: 26%26%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 50%50%Hard hit allowed: 45%45% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Whisenhunt, Carson · 2026 arsenal snapshot Changeup: 35.0%4-Seam Fastball: 34.8%Slider: 16.4%Sinker: 9.2%Slurve: 4.5% CH35% · 83 mphprimary pitch CH 35%FF 35%SL 16%SI 9%SV 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Whisenhunt, Carson · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Changeup: 35% usage, 14″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 83.4 mphCH83 mph4-Seam Fastball: 35% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 92.8 mphFF93 mphSlider: 16% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 85.1 mphSL85 mphSinker: 9% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 92.9 mphSI93 mphSlurve: 5% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 50″ drop, 80.7 mphSV81 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
CH 36.2% 104 105 limited sample
FB 34.1% 98 95 limited sample
SL 15.0% 43 99 limited sample
SI 10.5% 30 98 limited sample
CB 4.2% 12 89 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Plays better against lefties right now (0.257 vs 0.296 xwOBA allowed split).
pitcher
2
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
3
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 48%, Changeup 37%, Slider 14%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--
Sample34.3 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings63.5----
Batters Faced281----
K%18.3%11.6% to 24.3%+/- 6.3%
BB%9.5%7.1% to 12.9%+/- 2.9%
Whiff%22.5%17.3% to 27.1%+/- 4.9%
HR/91.510.70 to 2.48+/- 0.89
xwOBA Against0.3540.285 to 0.373+/- 0.044
Barrel% Allowed8.6%5.4% to 13.1%+/- 3.9%
ERA4.782.59 to 6.48+/- 1.95
FIP4.543.42 to 6.32+/- 1.45
WHIP1.4070.998 to 1.682+/- 0.342
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

32 career BF

xwOBA0.257
K%13.6%
BB%7.5%
Barrel7.2%
vs RHH

70 career BF

xwOBA0.296
K%11.8%
BB%9.6%
Barrel10.5%