Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 29 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / MIA · 2026

Zuber, Tyler

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
23.5% K%
Range
14.1% to 31.1%
Live Δ
yes
Team MIA Archetype Volatile contact Age 31 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
57
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
54
Arsenal5 metrics
83
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-29
ERA preseason4.65
ERA current pace5.67
ERA rolling p505.09
Observed weight44%
ERA
2.49 3.72 5.09 6.46 7.69
FIP
2.55 3.35 4.23 5.12 5.91
K%
18.3% 20.7% 23.4% 26.1% 28.5%
BB%
5.0% 6.2% 7.5% 8.8% 9.9%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.37
43
ERA5.67
14
BB%5.9%
90 +42 vs proj
K%25.3%
72
xwOBA allowed0.301
66 +19 vs proj
Barrel allowed6.3%
69 +33 vs proj
Fastball velo95.2
63
Hard-hit allowed42.9%
19
Whiff%22.3%
48
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-29
Curveball Stuff+103
58
Fastball Stuff+106
80
Mithrandir Stuff+109
97
Sinker Stuff+107
84
Slider Stuff+110
97
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 40%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Zuber, Tyler · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.301 2026-09-18: 0.2942026-09-19: 0.3052026-09-20: 0.3052026-09-21: 0.3052026-09-22: 0.3052026-09-23: 0.3012026-09-24: 0.3012026-09-25: 0.3012026-09-26: 0.3012026-09-27: 0.3012026-09-28: 0.3012026-09-29: 0.301 2026-09-18 2026-09-29 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Zuber, Tyler · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 51%51%Whiff: 22%22%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 58%58%Hard hit allowed: 43%43% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Zuber, Tyler · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 39.9%Sweeper: 24.1%Slider: 17.9%Sinker: 11.5%Curveball: 6.0%Changeup: 0.7% FF40% · 95 mphprimary pitch FF 40%ST 24%SL 18%SI 12%CU 6%CH 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Zuber, Tyler · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 40% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 95.4 mphFF95 mphSweeper: 24% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 83.6 mphST84 mphSlider: 18% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 89.1 mphSL89 mphSinker: 12% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 94.7 mphSI95 mphCurveball: 6% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 45″ drop, 83.3 mphCU83 mphChangeup: 1% usage, 15″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 87.8 mphCH88 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 42.5% 145 110 limited sample
FB 37.5% 128 106 limited sample
SI 14.1% 48 107 limited sample
CB 5.9% 20 103 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
2
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
3
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Sweeper 35%, 4-Seam Fastball 28%, Slider 16%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ+0.99
K% Δ+0.018
Sample43.0 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings29.6----
Batters Faced138----
K%23.5%14.1% to 31.1%+/- 8.5%
BB%9.2%5.0% to 13.1%+/- 4.0%
Whiff%21.2%12.1% to 26.2%+/- 7.0%
HR/91.350.42 to 2.47+/- 1.03
xwOBA Against0.3150.227 to 0.361+/- 0.067
Barrel% Allowed8.3%3.9% to 13.9%+/- 5.0%
ERA4.681.31 to 8.61+/- 3.65
FIP3.872.08 to 6.80+/- 2.36
WHIP1.3200.993 to 1.741+/- 0.374
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

148 career BF

xwOBA0.248
K%16.1%
BB%8.4%
Barrel8.9%
vs RHH

164 career BF

xwOBA0.236
K%17.5%
BB%5.9%
Barrel9.1%