Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 29 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / NYY · 2026

Schmidt, Clarke

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
23.2% K%
Range
19.5% to 29.5%
Live Δ
--
Team NYY Archetype Volatile contact Age 30 Status IL-15
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-29
ERA preseason3.58
ERA current pace0.00
ERA rolling p503.52
Observed weight2%
ERA
2.30 2.88 3.52 4.16 4.74
FIP
2.91 3.27 3.67 4.07 4.43
K%
20.2% 22.5% 25.1% 27.7% 30.0%
BB%
5.8% 6.7% 7.8% 8.9% 9.8%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
Insufficient sample

Percentile strips appear after the current-season sample clears the threshold.

Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher.

Stuff+ pending

No current Stuff+ row is available for this pitcher in the latest daily scoring artifact. The profile keeps this block visible so missing coverage is explicit rather than silent.

Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Schmidt, Clarke · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 29%29%Whiff: 33%33%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 25%25%Hard hit allowed: 0%0% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2025 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types.

2025
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Schmidt, Clarke · 2025 arsenal snapshot Cutter: 40.9%Knuckle Curve: 18.2%Slider: 12.9%Sweeper: 12.2%Sinker: 8.3%4-Seam Fastball: 7.6% FC41% · 92 mphprimary pitch FC 41%KC 18%SL 13%ST 12%SI 8%FF 8% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Schmidt, Clarke · 2025 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Cutter: 41% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 92.2 mphFC92 mphKnuckle Curve: 18% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 52″ drop, 85.0 mphKC85 mphSlider: 13% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 85.3 mphSL85 mphSweeper: 12% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 41″ drop, 83.1 mphST83 mphSinker: 8% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 28″ drop, 92.6 mphSI93 mph4-Seam Fastball: 8% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 94.3 mphFF94 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park slightly inflates the home-run risk band.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Cutter 41%, Knuckle Curve 18%, Slider 13%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings138.1----
Batters Faced583----
K%23.2%19.5% to 29.5%+/- 5.0%
BB%8.0%6.1% to 10.2%+/- 2.1%
Whiff%24.0%20.4% to 28.3%+/- 4.0%
HR/91.270.75 to 1.83+/- 0.54
xwOBA Against0.3010.271 to 0.319+/- 0.024
Barrel% Allowed7.3%5.0% to 9.8%+/- 2.4%
ERA3.672.58 to 5.05+/- 1.24
FIP3.913.03 to 4.58+/- 0.77
WHIP1.2361.005 to 1.443+/- 0.219
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

918 career BF

xwOBA0.278
K%21.9%
BB%9.2%
Barrel6.3%
vs RHH

944 career BF

xwOBA0.262
K%21.4%
BB%6.2%
Barrel6.6%