Run-prevention profile built on workable command
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.75 |
| ERA current pace | 3.38 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.59 |
| Observed weight | 44% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 75.5% | 302 | 107 | qualified |
| FC | 24.5% | 98 | 95 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -0.59 |
| K% Δ | -0.001 |
| Sample | 44.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 38.7 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 157 | -- | -- |
| K% | 25.5% | 19.7% to 33.1% | +/- 6.7% |
| BB% | 9.0% | 6.0% to 13.3% | +/- 3.7% |
| Whiff% | 24.6% | 20.0% to 30.2% | +/- 5.1% |
| HR/9 | 1.31 | 0.64 to 2.23 | +/- 0.80 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.308 | 0.247 to 0.349 | +/- 0.051 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.4% | 4.4% to 13.5% | +/- 4.6% |
| ERA | 3.97 | 2.21 to 6.48 | +/- 2.13 |
| FIP | 4.23 | 2.68 to 5.75 | +/- 1.53 |
| WHIP | 1.206 | 0.914 to 1.507 | +/- 0.296 |
| xwOBA | 0.278 |
| K% | 25.7% |
| BB% | 10.0% |
| Barrel | 10.7% |
| xwOBA | 0.267 |
| K% | 24.3% |
| BB% | 7.2% |
| Barrel | 8.3% |
