Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / SF · 2026
Davidson, Bo
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team SF
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
30
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · RF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg-0.3 · RF
35
Regression applied
Range Runs-1.0 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.9 · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 53.7% · rebadged research
7
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 38.9% · rebadged research
2
Correct Decisions57.7% · rebadged research
4
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.292 · borderline
40
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · insufficient sample
71
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277 · validated thin sample
63
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · insufficient sample
31
Resists FastballwOBA 0.340 · validated
45
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.369 · validated
26
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline76
2
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
14 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 202 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.294 | 0.126 to 0.332 | +/- 0.103 |
| ISO | 0.146 | 0.042 to 0.221 | +/- 0.090 |
| Barrel% | 4.5% | 0.2% to 5.9% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 38.2% | 13.3% to 40.0% | +/- 13.3% |
| K% | 26.4% | 8.7% to 36.6% | +/- 14.0% |
| BB% | 8.5% | 0.7% to 9.7% | +/- 4.5% |
| BABIP | 0.301 | 0.186 to 0.365 | +/- 0.089 |
vs LHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.5% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
3 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.5% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |