Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / NYY · 2026
Lombard Jr., George
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team NYY
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 21
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
52
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.274 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.298 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.284 |
| Observed weight | 43% |
xwOBA
0.224
0.253
0.284
0.316
0.344
wOBA
0.260
0.281
0.305
0.330
0.351
ISO
0.084
0.109
0.137
0.164
0.189
K%
18.2%
22.3%
26.8%
31.3%
35.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.4%
59
Exit velocity86.0
30
Hard-hit%35.5%
36
xBA0.339
74
xSLG0.548
65
xwOBA0.298
46
BB%6.0%
22
Bat speed69.6
48
K%26.9%
28
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · SS
67
Arm Strength89.8 · SS
71
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · SS
14
Range Runs-1.8 · SS
35
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts12.0 · SS
66
Sprint Speed29.3 · SS
93
SB Success Rate50.0% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.4% · rebadged research
76
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.8% · rebadged research
42
Correct Decisions69.5% · rebadged research
83
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.319 · borderline
12
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · insufficient sample
44
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.261 · validated thin sample
88
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.354 · insufficient sample
9
Resists FastballwOBA 0.323 · validated
77
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.333 · validated
90
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
71
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
75 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.001 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.009 |
| Sample | 167 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 201 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.297 | 0.118 to 0.317 | +/- 0.099 |
| ISO | 0.128 | 0.019 to 0.195 | +/- 0.088 |
| Barrel% | 4.7% | 0.2% to 5.2% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.5% | 9.4% to 38.6% | +/- 14.6% |
| K% | 29.1% | 9.4% to 38.9% | +/- 14.8% |
| BB% | 7.1% | 0.9% to 9.8% | +/- 4.5% |
| BABIP | 0.290 | 0.167 to 0.356 | +/- 0.094 |
vs LHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.4% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
4 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.5% |
| BB% | 0.3% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |