Increase in-zone swing rate, especially on fastballs in favorable counts
Hittable takes / Expansion guardrail
Roden, Alan
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.266 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.361 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.297 |
| Observed weight | 33% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Alan Roden's tools (82) outpace production (80) by 2 points. Primary finding: excellent plate discipline but too passive on hittable pitches — letting strikes go by.
Field-coordinate spray profile
40 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.077 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.146 |
| Sample | 108 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 283 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.284 | 0.193 to 0.338 | +/- 0.072 |
| ISO | 0.125 | 0.034 to 0.212 | +/- 0.089 |
| Barrel% | 2.7% | 0.9% to 5.6% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.4% | 21.5% to 43.6% | +/- 11.1% |
| K% | 19.7% | 15.5% to 32.1% | +/- 8.3% |
| BB% | 6.7% | 1.8% to 9.6% | +/- 3.9% |
| BABIP | 0.286 | 0.213 to 0.342 | +/- 0.065 |
30 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.095 |
| K% | 10.1% |
| BB% | 2.5% |
| Barrel | 0.9% |
143 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.094 |
| K% | 9.9% |
| BB% | 2.4% |
| Barrel | 0.9% |