Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / SF · 2026
Mayer, Marcelo
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team SF
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
25
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.9%
51
Exit velocity86.4
33
Hard-hit%36.2%
39
xBA0.256
5
xSLG0.385
9
xwOBA0.257
13
BB%7.9%
43
Bat speed72.7
87
K%20.4%
65
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength87.7 · 2B
56
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 2B
80
Range Runs-0.3 · 2B
50
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.4 · 2B
48
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.4% · rebadged research
51
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.2% · rebadged research
70
Correct Decisions67.8% · rebadged research
67
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.273 · borderline
81
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · insufficient sample
78
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.245 · validated thin sample
98
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.296 · insufficient sample
96
Resists FastballwOBA 0.344 · validated
39
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.372 · validated
21
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
60
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
153 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
| Sample | 265 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 278 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.295 | 0.183 to 0.330 | +/- 0.073 |
| ISO | 0.186 | 0.082 to 0.227 | +/- 0.073 |
| Barrel% | 5.8% | 1.9% to 8.0% | +/- 3.1% |
| Hard-Hit% | 44.9% | 30.7% to 51.1% | +/- 10.2% |
| K% | 25.8% | 17.8% to 33.6% | +/- 7.9% |
| BB% | 7.8% | 3.7% to 10.1% | +/- 3.2% |
| BABIP | 0.294 | 0.207 to 0.340 | +/- 0.066 |
vs LHP
32 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.096 |
| K% | 12.1% |
| BB% | 3.0% |
| Barrel | 1.7% |
vs RHP
136 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.110 |
| K% | 11.3% |
| BB% | 3.6% |
| Barrel | 2.6% |