Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 29 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026

Teel, Kyle

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.315 xwOBA
Range
0.283 to 0.376
Live Δ
yes
Team CWS Archetype Balanced regular Age 24 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
70
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
63
Defense4 metrics
38
Speed1 metrics
38
Plate skills10 metrics
45
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-29
xwOBA preseason0.320
xwOBA current pace0.321
xwOBA rolling p500.320
Observed weight40%
xwOBA
0.286 0.302 0.320 0.338 0.354
wOBA
0.284 0.308 0.335 0.361 0.385
ISO
0.116 0.133 0.153 0.172 0.190
K%
24.6% 26.4% 28.5% 30.6% 32.4%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.6%
62
Exit velocity84.4
15
Hard-hit%47.1%
88 +40 vs proj
xBA0.368
93
xSLG0.656
90
xwOBA0.321
70
BB%13.2%
93 +29 vs proj
Bat speed70.0
56
K%35.4%
4 -32 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.8 · C
8
Catcher Throwing1.5 · C
77
Framing Runs-1.5 · C
32
Pop Time2.0 · C
36
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.0 · C
38
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-29
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.7% · rebadged research
62
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.3% · rebadged research
47
Correct Decisions64.3% · rebadged research
30
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.295 · borderline
34
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
51
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
50
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.321 · insufficient sample
66
Resists FastballwOBA 0.345 · validated
35
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.373 · validated
19
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
61
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Teel, Kyle · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.301 0.321 2026-09-18: 0.3202026-09-19: 0.3202026-09-20: 0.3202026-09-21: 0.3082026-09-22: 0.3082026-09-23: 0.3032026-09-24: 0.3052026-09-25: 0.3052026-09-26: 0.3242026-09-27: 0.3212026-09-28: 0.3212026-09-29: 0.321 2026-09-18 2026-09-29 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

37 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Teel, Kyle · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 8% of plotted batted ballsPull 8%Center field third: 65% of plotted batted ballsCenter 65%Right field third: 27% of plotted batted ballsOppo 27% LF 330 CF 400 RF 335 2026-06-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA -13.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.9 / LA -20.02026-06-24 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 93.4 / LA 14.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 65.0 / LA 26.02026-06-26 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 99.0 / LA 2.02026-06-26 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.0 / LA -19.02026-06-26 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.7 / LA 33.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.0 / LA -3.02026-06-30 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 95.3 / LA 10.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 62.7 / LA -17.02026-09-04 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 40.3 / LA -15.02026-09-04 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 93.0 / LA 41.02026-09-04 · field out · FF · popup · EV 78.8 / LA 74.02026-09-06 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 106.0 / LA 32.02026-09-06 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 62.2 / LA 3.02026-09-06 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 49.02026-09-08 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.7 / LA -11.02026-09-08 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 112.4 / LA 23.02026-09-09 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 59.5 / LA -31.02026-09-11 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 86.3 / LA 17.02026-09-11 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.0 / LA -4.02026-09-12 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 53.5 / LA -58.02026-09-13 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 62.8 / LA -37.02026-09-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.1 / LA -6.02026-09-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 34.02026-09-20 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 82.8 / LA 10.02026-09-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 77.3 / LA 36.02026-09-20 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 82.5 / LA 48.02026-09-22 · field out · SI · popup · EV 66.1 / LA 59.02026-09-22 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA -4.02026-09-23 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 100.3 / LA 15.02026-09-25 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.6 / LA -9.02026-09-25 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 41.02026-09-25 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.4 / LA 26.02026-09-25 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 42.8 / LA -46.02026-09-26 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 85.6 / LA 21.02026-09-26 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.7 / LA 9.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Teel, Kyle · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 43%43%Chase: 31%31%Whiff: 33%33%Zone contact: 79%79%Contact: 67%67%Hard hit: 47%47% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Profile still plays best against righties (0.198 vs 0.166 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
3
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ+0.006
wOBA Δ+0.019
Sample144 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances350----
Home Runs10----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3150.283 to 0.376+/- 0.046
ISO0.1570.103 to 0.215+/- 0.056
Barrel%5.0%2.9% to 7.7%+/- 2.4%
Hard-Hit%37.7%29.2% to 45.4%+/- 8.1%
K%25.4%18.3% to 29.4%+/- 5.5%
BB%9.6%7.5% to 13.8%+/- 3.2%
BABIP0.3170.279 to 0.381+/- 0.051
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

54 career PA

xwOBA0.166
K%16.1%
BB%6.4%
Barrel2.3%
vs RHP

247 career PA

xwOBA0.198
K%13.4%
BB%7.4%
Barrel3.5%