Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CLE · 2026
Halpin, Petey
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CLE
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
29
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.267 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.295 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.280 |
| Observed weight | 48% |
xwOBA
0.215
0.246
0.280
0.314
0.345
wOBA
0.241
0.260
0.282
0.303
0.322
ISO
0.043
0.067
0.092
0.118
0.141
K%
14.3%
18.0%
22.1%
26.3%
30.0%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.0%
36
Exit velocity82.0
5
Hard-hit%25.0%
7
-23 vs proj
xBA0.313
44
xSLG0.470
40
xwOBA0.295
41
BB%5.0%
14
-26 vs proj
Bat speed66.9
21
K%18.4%
75
+57 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs3.1 · CF
92
Arm Strength99.7 · CF
90
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · CF
25
Range Runs-1.1 · CF
37
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts1.0 · CF
11
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
94
Sprint Speed28.5 · CF
80
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.1% · rebadged research
32
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.0% · rebadged research
93
Correct Decisions69.6% · rebadged research
83
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.269 · borderline
87
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
33
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277 · validated thin sample
61
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.315 · insufficient sample
77
Resists FastballwOBA 0.331 · validated
66
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.331 · validated
91
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
65
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
74 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.011 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.002 |
| Sample | 201 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 204 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.284 | 0.106 to 0.342 | +/- 0.118 |
| ISO | 0.121 | 0.014 to 0.195 | +/- 0.090 |
| Barrel% | 3.9% | 0.2% to 5.3% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 33.9% | 6.6% to 39.4% | +/- 16.4% |
| K% | 29.7% | 9.6% to 38.5% | +/- 14.4% |
| BB% | 7.7% | 0.7% to 10.7% | +/- 5.0% |
| BABIP | 0.314 | 0.157 to 0.368 | +/- 0.105 |
vs LHP
3 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.009 |
| K% | 1.5% |
| BB% | 0.8% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
11 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.010 |
| K% | 1.4% |
| BB% | 0.9% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |