Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / PIT · 2026
Simon, Ronny
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team PIT
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
28
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.290 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.298 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.291 |
| Observed weight | 24% |
xwOBA
0.237
0.263
0.291
0.320
0.346
wOBA
0.221
0.255
0.292
0.329
0.362
ISO
0.043
0.073
0.105
0.138
0.168
K%
10.2%
13.5%
17.2%
20.8%
24.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.9%
23
-20 vs proj
Exit velocity82.9
7
Hard-hit%30.2%
17
-24 vs proj
xBA0.313
44
xSLG0.448
30
xwOBA0.298
45
BB%5.9%
21
-21 vs proj
Bat speed67.9
28
K%16.2%
86
+32 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
50
Arm Runs-0.5 · RF
Small sample
Range Runs0.2 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts2.0 · RF
26
Sprint Speed28.7 · RF
84
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 54.3% · rebadged research
8
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.0% · rebadged research
74
Correct Decisions62.0% · rebadged research
15
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.301 · borderline
26
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.263 · insufficient sample
90
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
47
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
36
Resists FastballwOBA 0.320 · validated
83
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360 · validated
42
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline92
15
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
32 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.013 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.019 |
| Sample | 68 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 247 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 5 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.311 | 0.188 to 0.324 | +/- 0.068 |
| ISO | 0.127 | 0.030 to 0.190 | +/- 0.080 |
| Barrel% | 4.3% | 1.0% to 6.3% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.5% | 19.7% to 44.7% | +/- 12.5% |
| K% | 22.3% | 9.9% to 27.7% | +/- 8.9% |
| BB% | 7.9% | 3.5% to 11.0% | +/- 3.7% |
| BABIP | 0.298 | 0.181 to 0.337 | +/- 0.078 |
vs LHP
20 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.084 |
| K% | 5.0% |
| BB% | 2.9% |
| Barrel | 1.6% |
vs RHP
91 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.081 |
| K% | 5.2% |
| BB% | 2.7% |
| Barrel | 1.5% |