Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / CIN · 2026
Banfield, Will
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team CIN
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 27
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
32
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.267 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.176 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.257 |
| Observed weight | 11% |
xwOBA
0.166
0.209
0.257
0.305
0.348
wOBA
0.214
0.268
0.328
0.388
0.441
ISO
0.030
0.066
0.105
0.145
0.181
K%
15.0%
21.0%
27.7%
34.4%
40.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.3 · C
Small sample
Catcher Throwing-0.2 · C
Small sample
Framing Runs-0.5 · C
Small sample
Pop Time1.9 · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 38.7% · rebadged research
1
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.4% · rebadged research
15
Correct Decisions52.9% · rebadged research
2
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · borderline
40
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
62
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.320 · insufficient sample
63
Resists FastballwOBA 0.329 · validated
70
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362 · validated
37
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline71
1
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
17 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 208 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.260 | 0.126 to 0.330 | +/- 0.102 |
| ISO | 0.117 | 0.022 to 0.190 | +/- 0.084 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 0.2% to 5.1% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 32.8% | 11.9% to 42.0% | +/- 15.1% |
| K% | 29.5% | 11.4% to 39.9% | +/- 14.2% |
| BB% | 6.3% | 0.8% to 9.6% | +/- 4.4% |
| BABIP | 0.297 | 0.161 to 0.364 | +/- 0.102 |
vs LHP
3 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.010 |
| K% | 3.2% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
15 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.009 |
| K% | 3.5% |
| BB% | 0.3% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |