Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / SD · 2026
Taylor, Samad
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team SD
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
35
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.261 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.309 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.283 |
| Observed weight | 45% |
xwOBA
0.238
0.259
0.283
0.306
0.327
wOBA
0.323
0.345
0.369
0.394
0.416
ISO
0.051
0.076
0.104
0.132
0.157
K%
18.9%
22.2%
25.8%
29.5%
32.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.3%
15
Exit velocity78.1
1
Hard-hit%24.8%
7
xBA0.363
90
xSLG0.466
38
xwOBA0.309
57
+43 vs proj
BB%10.2%
70
+40 vs proj
Bat speed62.8
2
K%25.4%
36
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.8 · LF
75
Arm Strength92.1 · LF
37
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · LF
13
Range Runs-2.4 · LF
24
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.6 · LF
54
Bolts5.0 · LF
46
SB Success Rate83.3% · LF
59
Sprint Speed29.2 · LF
92
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.8% · rebadged research
48
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.1% · rebadged research
49
Correct Decisions64.2% · rebadged research
29
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.292 · borderline
41
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.280 · insufficient sample
50
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
43
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.316 · insufficient sample
76
Resists FastballwOBA 0.362 · validated
17
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.381 · validated
11
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
47
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
60 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.047 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.107 |
| Sample | 177 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 208 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 5 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.262 | 0.162 to 0.306 | +/- 0.072 |
| ISO | 0.081 | 0.034 to 0.220 | +/- 0.093 |
| Barrel% | 3.2% | 0.8% to 6.2% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 27.0% | 14.8% to 42.2% | +/- 13.7% |
| K% | 24.0% | 12.3% to 36.4% | +/- 12.1% |
| BB% | 6.8% | 2.2% to 11.5% | +/- 4.6% |
| BABIP | 0.299 | 0.149 to 0.358 | +/- 0.104 |
vs LHP
48 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.055 |
| K% | 5.6% |
| BB% | 2.3% |
| Barrel | 1.3% |
vs RHP
60 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.052 |
| K% | 5.9% |
| BB% | 2.3% |
| Barrel | 1.1% |