Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Age-31 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / LAD · 2026
Edman, Tommy
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team LAD
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 31
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
35
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.307 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.301 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.303 |
| Observed weight | 60% |
xwOBA
0.279
0.291
0.303
0.316
0.327
wOBA
0.304
0.320
0.338
0.356
0.371
ISO
0.123
0.137
0.151
0.166
0.179
K%
17.8%
18.9%
20.0%
21.1%
22.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.7%
32
Exit velocity86.6
35
Hard-hit%32.1%
23
-21 vs proj
xBA0.312
42
xSLG0.449
30
xwOBA0.301
49
BB%6.4%
27
Bat speed69.4
45
K%20.5%
64
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · 2B
26
Arm Strength91.9 · 2B
82
Outs Above Avg6.0 · 2B
92
Range Runs2.4 · 2B
78
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.1 · 2B
27
Bolts1.0 · 2B
11
SB Success Rate85.7% · 2B
67
Sprint Speed28.0 · 2B
65
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.8% · rebadged research
58
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.3% · rebadged research
39
Correct Decisions65.2% · rebadged research
41
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.332 · borderline
5
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.265 · insufficient sample
86
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.310 · validated thin sample
7
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.336 · insufficient sample
24
Resists FastballwOBA 0.298 · validated
98
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.370 · validated
24
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
52
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
116 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.006 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.031 |
| Sample | 327 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 448 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 14 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.307 | 0.278 to 0.348 | +/- 0.035 |
| ISO | 0.139 | 0.104 to 0.222 | +/- 0.059 |
| Barrel% | 3.6% | 1.8% to 5.9% | +/- 2.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.1% | 34.2% to 44.9% | +/- 5.3% |
| K% | 18.5% | 16.4% to 23.0% | +/- 3.3% |
| BB% | 5.9% | 4.6% to 8.8% | +/- 2.1% |
| BABIP | 0.267 | 0.230 to 0.310 | +/- 0.040 |
vs LHP
860 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.258 |
| K% | 14.3% |
| BB% | 4.0% |
| Barrel | 4.0% |
vs RHP
2386 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.241 |
| K% | 14.2% |
| BB% | 4.9% |
| Barrel | 2.8% |