Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026
Vientos, Mark
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team NYM
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 27
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
68
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.322 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.304 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.312 |
| Observed weight | 58% |
xwOBA
0.287
0.298
0.312
0.325
0.337
wOBA
0.260
0.276
0.293
0.311
0.327
ISO
0.153
0.168
0.184
0.201
0.216
K%
21.9%
23.3%
24.8%
26.3%
27.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.1%
82
Exit velocity90.1
80
Hard-hit%43.8%
77
xBA0.312
42
xSLG0.585
77
xwOBA0.304
52
-24 vs proj
BB%5.2%
15
-18 vs proj
Bat speed72.1
81
K%23.9%
45
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength85.4 · 1B
37
Outs Above Avg-10.0 · 1B
1
Range Runs-6.7 · 1B
8
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.8 · 1B
13
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.8% · rebadged research
28
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.0% · rebadged research
74
Correct Decisions66.6% · rebadged research
55
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
38
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.277 · borderline
76
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.280 · insufficient sample
49
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.301 · validated thin sample
15
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.328 · insufficient sample
44
Resists FastballwOBA 0.326 · validated
72
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.334 · validated
89
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
184 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.024 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.035 |
| Sample | 310 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 496 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 22 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.328 | 0.300 to 0.377 | +/- 0.038 |
| ISO | 0.185 | 0.140 to 0.267 | +/- 0.064 |
| Barrel% | 7.2% | 5.2% to 9.6% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 48.4% | 42.9% to 55.5% | +/- 6.3% |
| K% | 25.2% | 21.2% to 32.1% | +/- 5.4% |
| BB% | 7.0% | 4.7% to 9.9% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.289 | 0.243 to 0.342 | +/- 0.050 |
vs LHP
415 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.269 |
| K% | 21.5% |
| BB% | 5.4% |
| Barrel | 5.8% |
vs RHP
903 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.270 |
| K% | 23.1% |
| BB% | 5.6% |
| Barrel | 7.0% |