Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / PHI · 2026
De La Cruz, Bryan
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team PHI
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 30
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
56
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.293 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.299 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.295 |
| Observed weight | 33% |
xwOBA
0.253
0.273
0.295
0.317
0.337
wOBA
0.363
0.392
0.424
0.457
0.486
ISO
0.099
0.122
0.147
0.172
0.195
K%
20.1%
22.1%
24.3%
26.4%
28.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.7%
64
Exit velocity89.8
75
Hard-hit%42.9%
72
xBA0.315
48
xSLG0.455
33
xwOBA0.299
46
BB%7.5%
38
+17 vs proj
Bat speed67.3
24
K%17.9%
79
+55 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength94.7 · RF
58
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
25
Arm Runs-0.9 · RF
Small sample
Range Runs0.7 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.8 · RF
59
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.9% · rebadged research
74
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 17.7% · rebadged research
95
Correct Decisions72.2% · rebadged research
94
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.316 · borderline
14
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.293 · insufficient sample
19
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277 · validated thin sample
63
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.318 · insufficient sample
74
Resists FastballwOBA 0.325 · validated
76
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.361 · validated
38
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
94
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
55 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.009 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.117 |
| Sample | 106 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 300 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.308 | 0.266 to 0.378 | +/- 0.056 |
| ISO | 0.157 | 0.100 to 0.236 | +/- 0.068 |
| Barrel% | 6.3% | 3.7% to 9.5% | +/- 2.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 44.2% | 34.8% to 52.8% | +/- 9.0% |
| K% | 27.7% | 21.8% to 33.2% | +/- 5.7% |
| BB% | 6.0% | 3.5% to 9.4% | +/- 2.9% |
| BABIP | 0.299 | 0.240 to 0.370 | +/- 0.065 |
vs LHP
520 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.257 |
| K% | 19.6% |
| BB% | 4.6% |
| Barrel | 4.6% |
vs RHP
1435 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.234 |
| K% | 21.0% |
| BB% | 4.6% |
| Barrel | 4.6% |