Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / NYY · 2026
Sánchez, Ali
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team NYY
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
30
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.238 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.256 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.244 |
| Observed weight | 31% |
xwOBA
0.167
0.203
0.244
0.284
0.320
wOBA
0.244
0.273
0.304
0.335
0.363
ISO
0.020
0.053
0.089
0.125
0.157
K%
19.0%
23.1%
27.6%
32.2%
36.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.1%
38
Exit velocity83.2
8
Hard-hit%32.4%
25
xBA0.337
72
xSLG0.432
24
xwOBA0.256
12
BB%1.0%
0
Bat speed68.2
32
K%26.5%
29
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.4 · C
41
Catcher Throwing-0.6 · C
36
Framing Runs6.1 · C
94
Pop Time1.9 · C
57
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.2 · C
7
SB Success Rate0.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.2% · rebadged research
64
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.0% · rebadged research
52
Correct Decisions69.6% · rebadged research
83
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.283 · borderline
62
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.268 · insufficient sample
83
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
40
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
39
Resists FastballwOBA 0.345 · validated
36
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.341 · validated
81
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
65
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
32 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.022 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.026 |
| Sample | 98 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 224 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 5 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.278 | 0.135 to 0.350 | +/- 0.108 |
| ISO | 0.116 | 0.015 to 0.212 | +/- 0.098 |
| Barrel% | 4.5% | 1.1% to 7.0% | +/- 2.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 35.9% | 18.8% to 42.6% | +/- 11.9% |
| K% | 25.2% | 15.3% to 39.9% | +/- 12.3% |
| BB% | 5.2% | 0.7% to 9.8% | +/- 4.6% |
| BABIP | 0.283 | 0.178 to 0.352 | +/- 0.087 |
vs LHP
47 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.072 |
| K% | 8.0% |
| BB% | 1.3% |
| Barrel | 1.8% |
vs RHP
118 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.067 |
| K% | 8.8% |
| BB% | 1.1% |
| Barrel | 1.5% |