Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Age-31 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026
Siri, Jose
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team LAA
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 31
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
74
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.302 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.304 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.303 |
| Observed weight | 54% |
xwOBA
0.267
0.284
0.303
0.322
0.339
wOBA
0.300
0.318
0.337
0.357
0.375
ISO
0.136
0.157
0.180
0.203
0.223
K%
29.8%
31.8%
33.9%
36.1%
38.0%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.5%
91
Exit velocity88.3
53
Hard-hit%43.7%
76
xBA0.351
83
xSLG0.657
90
xwOBA0.304
52
BB%5.8%
20
Bat speed70.4
61
K%31.9%
9
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs2.3 · LF
90
Arm Strength97.3 · LF
77
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · LF
13
Range Runs-1.7 · LF
32
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts31.0 · CF
83
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
94
Sprint Speed30.0 · CF
99
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.5% · rebadged research
17
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.0% · rebadged research
32
Correct Decisions63.6% · rebadged research
23
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.261 · borderline
93
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.260 · insufficient sample
93
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.270 · validated thin sample
77
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.348 · insufficient sample
13
Resists FastballwOBA 0.364 · validated
15
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.329 · validated
93
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline92
15
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
91 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.004 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.038 |
| Sample | 260 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 274 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 12 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.300 | 0.223 to 0.353 | +/- 0.065 |
| ISO | 0.199 | 0.112 to 0.289 | +/- 0.088 |
| Barrel% | 7.3% | 4.2% to 10.2% | +/- 3.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 41.8% | 32.2% to 50.1% | +/- 9.0% |
| K% | 39.5% | 28.3% to 43.8% | +/- 7.7% |
| BB% | 7.1% | 4.1% to 11.0% | +/- 3.5% |
| BABIP | 0.290 | 0.188 to 0.352 | +/- 0.082 |
vs LHP
352 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.208 |
| K% | 26.4% |
| BB% | 5.0% |
| Barrel | 5.2% |
vs RHP
988 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.208 |
| K% | 27.4% |
| BB% | 4.6% |
| Barrel | 5.3% |