Mithrandir Metrics
Player Washington Nationals Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Washington Nationals

Harry Ford

C · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 200 lb · Age 23

Cards
6
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Washington Nationals Position C Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202581100.167.250.167.417
2026118171933.190.314.350.664
2 Seasons126182033.189.310.340.650
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
31
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
38
Defense4 metrics
39
Speed1 metrics
44
Plate skills10 metrics
73
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
xwOBA preseason0.282
xwOBA current pace0.288
xwOBA rolling p500.284
Observed weight35%
xwOBA
0.225 0.253 0.284 0.315 0.344
wOBA
0.262 0.289 0.318 0.347 0.373
ISO
0.066 0.097 0.130 0.164 0.194
K%
19.3% 23.7% 28.7% 33.6% 38.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.0%
68
Exit velocity84.7
17
Hard-hit%33.8%
30
xBA0.259
7
xSLG0.454
33
xwOBA0.288
33 -29 vs proj
BB%13.7%
95 +61 vs proj
Bat speed66.4
16
K%23.9%
45 +28 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.5 · C
12
Catcher Throwing-0.5 · C
41
Framing Runs-0.2 · C
47
Pop Time1.9 · C
57
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.2 · C
44
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-27
Avoids Bad ChasesST 77.2% · rebadged research
97
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.4% · rebadged research
94
Correct Decisions75.2% · rebadged research
98
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.332 · borderline
5
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · insufficient sample
68
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
41
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.320 · insufficient sample
63
Resists FastballwOBA 0.319 · validated
84
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.337 · validated
86
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline119
98
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Ford, Harry · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.288 2026-09-13: 0.2892026-09-14: 0.2892026-09-18: 0.2902026-09-19: 0.2872026-09-20: 0.2872026-09-21: 0.2882026-09-22: 0.2882026-09-23: 0.2882026-09-24: 0.2882026-09-25: 0.2882026-09-26: 0.2882026-09-27: 0.288 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

41 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Ford, Harry · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 20% of plotted batted ballsPull 20%Center field third: 68% of plotted batted ballsCenter 68%Right field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsOppo 12% LF 337 CF 402 RF 335 2026-03-16 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 2.02026-03-16 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA -13.02026-07-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.5 / LA 40.02026-07-31 · field out · FC · popup · EV 85.4 / LA 64.02026-07-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.4 / LA -8.02026-08-02 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 88.5 / LA -10.02026-08-04 · double · ST · fly_ball · EV 101.1 / LA 25.02026-08-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 73.8 / LA 39.02026-08-05 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 49.02026-08-07 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 75.3 / LA -39.02026-08-07 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 102.0 / LA 28.02026-08-11 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 88.7 / LA 19.02026-08-11 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 62.3 / LA -30.02026-08-15 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 27.02026-08-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA -16.02026-08-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 57.4 / LA -16.02026-08-22 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.4 / LA 21.02026-08-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 51.0 / LA -15.02026-08-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.7 / LA -11.02026-08-26 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA -4.02026-08-30 · double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.8 / LA -13.02026-08-30 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 110.2 / LA -7.02026-08-30 · fielders choice · CH · ground_ball · EV 90.6 / LA -6.02026-09-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 30.9 / LA -34.02026-09-01 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 93.5 / LA 17.02026-09-01 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA 0.02026-09-02 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 37.02026-09-04 · field out · SI · popup · EV 73.3 / LA 59.02026-09-04 · field out · FF · popup · EV 73.6 / LA 63.02026-09-06 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 35.02026-09-06 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 104.2 / LA 21.02026-09-08 · field out · FF · popup · EV 67.3 / LA 59.02026-09-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.2 / LA 31.02026-09-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.7 / LA -9.02026-09-11 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.0 / LA -12.02026-09-11 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.2 / LA 53.02026-09-12 · fielders choice · SL · ground_ball · EV 97.6 / LA -2.02026-09-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 63.5 / LA 4.02026-09-20 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 107.1 / LA 9.02026-09-20 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 93.6 / LA -2.02026-09-23 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 66.6 / LA 9.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Ford, Harry · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 19%19%Whiff: 24%24%Zone contact: 81%81%Contact: 76%76%Hard hit: 34%34% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age23
Height5' 10"
Weight200 lb
Debut2025-09-05
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.025
wOBA Δ+0.004

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.8σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.318
xwOBA (deserved)0.288

Ford’s wOBA sits at 0.318, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.288 — a gap of 0.030, -0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 117 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Fielding62026-09-081 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.148
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.313 xwOBA | 6 HRProjection
2026-08-15 @ NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 14 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, 2 K