Mithrandir Metrics
Player Baltimore Orioles Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles

Brandon Young

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 6", 230 lb · Age 28

Cards
24
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Baltimore Orioles Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2025176.241212057.2471.54
2026963.5628280156.21331.35
2 Seasons10134.2840400214.11801.40
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
47
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
48
Arsenal5 metrics
54
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
ERA preseason4.48
ERA current pace3.56
ERA rolling p503.80
Observed weight74%
ERA
2.53 3.13 3.80 4.47 5.08
FIP
3.65 4.07 4.54 5.01 5.43
K%
17.7% 18.6% 19.6% 20.7% 21.6%
BB%
7.6% 8.2% 8.8% 9.4% 10.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.37
43
ERA3.56
68
BB%9.1%
48
K%19.8%
34
xwOBA allowed0.319
42
Barrel allowed6.9%
60 +26 vs proj
Fastball velo94.3
48
Hard-hit allowed39.7%
41
Whiff%22.5%
50
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Fastball Stuff+105
74
Mithrandir Stuff+104
65
Slider Stuff+100
34
Curveball Stuff+102
50
Sinker Stuff+102
48
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Young, Brandon · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.319 2026-09-13: 0.3222026-09-14: 0.3222026-09-18: 0.3232026-09-19: 0.3232026-09-20: 0.3232026-09-21: 0.3192026-09-22: 0.3192026-09-23: 0.3192026-09-24: 0.3192026-09-25: 0.3192026-09-26: 0.3192026-09-27: 0.319 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 40%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Young, Brandon · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 46%46%Whiff: 22%22%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 52%52%Hard hit allowed: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Young, Brandon · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 40.1%Split-Finger: 18.9%Slider: 15.5%Sinker: 13.8%Curveball: 11.7% FF40% · 94 mphprimary pitch FF 40%FS 19%SL 16%SI 14%CU 12% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Young, Brandon · 2026 arsenal snapshot 18″36″54″72″ 4-Seam Fastball: 40% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 94.4 mphFF94 mphSplit-Finger: 19% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 84.5 mphFS84 mphSlider: 16% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 84.5 mphSL85 mphSinker: 14% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 20″ drop, 93.9 mphSI94 mphCurveball: 12% usage, 8″ horizontal break, 65″ drop, 75.2 mphCU75 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 50.4% 574 105 qualified
SL 19.3% 220 100 qualified
SI 16.1% 183 102 limited sample
CB 14.3% 163 102 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age28
Height6' 6"
Weight230 lb
Debut2025-04-19
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.29
K% Δ-0.012

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.4σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.330
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.319

Young’s wOBA-against sits at 0.330, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.319 — a gap of 0.011, 0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 154 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching242026-09-25Four-Seam Fastball played up through FF/FS tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202621.0% K | 4.85 ERAProjection
2026-04-06 @ CWS0 ER / 2 K5.0 IP