Mithrandir Metrics
Player Milwaukee Brewers Refreshed Sep 29 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Milwaukee Brewers

Shane Drohan

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 202 lb · Age 27

Cards
15
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Milwaukee Brewers Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2026754.1933192124.21251.32
1 Seasons754.1933192124.21251.32
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
54
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
52
Arsenal7 metrics
52
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-29
ERA preseason3.04
ERA current pace4.24
ERA rolling p503.87
Observed weight70%
ERA
2.29 3.04 3.87 4.71 5.46
FIP
1.90 2.84 3.89 4.93 5.87
K%
18.8% 20.4% 22.1% 23.8% 25.3%
BB%
6.6% 7.4% 8.3% 9.2% 10.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.37
43
ERA4.24
45
BB%8.4%
56 +16 vs proj
K%23.8%
63 +27 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.301
66 -19 vs proj
Barrel allowed8.6%
32
Fastball velo94.9
56
Hard-hit allowed39.0%
46
Whiff%24.1%
60
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-29
Fastball Stuff+103
60
Mithrandir Stuff+103
61
Sinker Stuff+104
64
Slider Stuff+103
60
Changeup Stuff+86
2
Curveball Stuff+103
65
Cutter Stuff+102
50
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Drohan, Shane · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.301 2026-09-18: 0.3032026-09-19: 0.3022026-09-20: 0.3022026-09-21: 0.3022026-09-22: 0.3022026-09-23: 0.3022026-09-24: 0.3022026-09-25: 0.3022026-09-26: 0.3042026-09-27: 0.3042026-09-28: 0.3012026-09-29: 0.301 2026-09-18 2026-09-29 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 27%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Drohan, Shane · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 55%55%Hard hit allowed: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Drohan, Shane · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 27.0%Slider: 21.4%Sinker: 21.3%Curveball: 12.9%Cutter: 11.9%Changeup: 5.5% FF27% · 95 mphprimary pitch FF 27%SL 21%SI 21%CU 13%FC 12%CH 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Drohan, Shane · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 27% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 94.9 mphFF95 mphSlider: 21% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 86.4 mphSL86 mphSinker: 21% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 23″ drop, 94.8 mphSI95 mphCurveball: 13% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 51″ drop, 80.6 mphCU81 mphCutter: 12% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 90.9 mphFC91 mphChangeup: 5% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 85.8 mphCH86 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 27.1% 388 103 qualified
SL 21.5% 308 103 qualified
SI 20.6% 296 104 qualified
CB 13.1% 188 103 limited sample
FC 12.9% 185 102 limited sample
CH 4.8% 69 86 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 2"
Weight202 lb
Debut2026-04-08
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.06
K% Δ+0.036

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.8σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.348
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.301

Drohan’s wOBA-against sits at 0.348, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.301 — a gap of 0.047, 1.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 126 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching152026-09-24Stuff and strike quality carried the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202620.2% K | 4.18 ERAProjection
2026-04-08 @ BOS3 ER / 2 K2.2 IP