Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Diego Padres Refreshed Sep 29 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Diego Padres

Samad Taylor

LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 8", 160 lb · Age 28

Cards
7
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club San Diego Padres Position LF Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202452200.400.400.400.800
202591100.125.125.125.250
20261752648213.316.390.408.798
4 Seasons2584063221.280.352.360.712
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
35
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
35
Defense4 metrics
38
Speed4 metrics
63
Plate skills10 metrics
41
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-29
xwOBA preseason0.261
xwOBA current pace0.309
xwOBA rolling p500.283
Observed weight45%
xwOBA
0.238 0.259 0.283 0.306 0.327
wOBA
0.323 0.345 0.369 0.394 0.416
ISO
0.051 0.076 0.104 0.132 0.157
K%
18.9% 22.2% 25.8% 29.5% 32.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.3%
15
Exit velocity78.1
1
Hard-hit%24.8%
7
xBA0.363
90
xSLG0.466
38
xwOBA0.309
57 +43 vs proj
BB%10.2%
70 +40 vs proj
Bat speed62.8
2
K%25.4%
36
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.8 · LF
75
Arm Strength92.1 · LF
37
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · LF
13
Range Runs-2.4 · LF
24
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.6 · LF
54
Bolts5.0 · LF
46
SB Success Rate83.3% · LF
59
Sprint Speed29.2 · LF
92
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-29
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.8% · rebadged research
48
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.1% · rebadged research
49
Correct Decisions64.2% · rebadged research
29
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.292 · borderline
41
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.280 · insufficient sample
50
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
43
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.316 · insufficient sample
76
Resists FastballwOBA 0.362 · validated
17
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.381 · validated
11
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
47
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Taylor, Samad · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.301 0.309 2026-09-18: 0.3062026-09-19: 0.3072026-09-20: 0.3072026-09-21: 0.3202026-09-22: 0.3202026-09-23: 0.3182026-09-24: 0.3152026-09-25: 0.3152026-09-26: 0.3112026-09-27: 0.3112026-09-28: 0.3092026-09-29: 0.309 2026-09-18 2026-09-29 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

60 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Taylor, Samad · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsPull 13%Center field third: 70% of plotted batted ballsCenter 70%Right field third: 17% of plotted batted ballsOppo 17% LF 334 CF 396 RF 322 2026-03-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -3.02026-06-07 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.1 / LA 0.02026-06-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.4 / LA 22.02026-06-20 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 32.7 / LA -78.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.4 / LA -2.02026-06-20 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 44.4 / LA -73.02026-06-22 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 93.9 / LA 32.02026-06-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.1 / LA -5.02026-06-24 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 64.5 / LA 24.02026-06-24 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 27.8 / LA -54.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 22.3 / LA -27.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 76.4 / LA 42.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 15.5 / LA -3.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 61.02026-06-30 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 73.3 / LA 22.02026-06-30 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 86.1 / LA 20.02026-07-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 3.02026-07-01 · triple · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 26.02026-08-30 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 31.8 / LA -10.02026-08-30 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 16.5 / LA -17.02026-09-01 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 68.2 / LA -4.02026-09-01 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 74.5 / LA 12.02026-09-01 · triple · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.2 / LA 29.02026-09-02 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 71.1 / LA 12.02026-09-02 · field out · FC · popup · EV 25.3 / LA 65.02026-09-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.0 / LA -47.02026-09-04 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 47.9 / LA -78.02026-09-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.2 / LA 32.02026-09-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 38.02026-09-08 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 53.6 / LA -70.02026-09-09 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 85.8 / LA 35.02026-09-09 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA 1.02026-09-09 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 34.1 / LA -55.02026-09-11 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 90.7 / LA 11.02026-09-11 · field out · FF · popup · EV 83.3 / LA 71.02026-09-11 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 20.02026-09-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.5 / LA -22.02026-09-12 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 36.1 / LA -4.02026-09-12 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 86.3 / LA 56.02026-09-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.2 / LA 55.02026-09-13 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 86.8 / LA 0.02026-09-13 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 71.4 / LA 27.02026-09-17 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.3 / LA -5.02026-09-17 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.6 / LA 4.02026-09-17 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 91.6 / LA 29.02026-09-18 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 97.3 / LA 18.02026-09-18 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 47.6 / LA -83.02026-09-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.5 / LA -35.02026-09-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 76.2 / LA -59.02026-09-20 · double · SL · ground_ball · EV 79.9 / LA -6.02026-09-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.7 / LA 9.02026-09-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.0 / LA 48.02026-09-23 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 66.4 / LA -7.02026-09-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.8 / LA -19.02026-09-25 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.7 / LA 20.02026-09-25 · field out · FF · popup · EV 89.8 / LA 67.02026-09-25 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 4.02026-09-25 · double play · CH · line_drive · EV 98.5 / LA 9.02026-09-27 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 84.5 / LA 59.02026-09-27 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 99.1 / LA 8.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Taylor, Samad · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 30%30%Whiff: 22%22%Zone contact: 89%89%Contact: 78%78%Hard hit: 25%25% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age28
Height5' 8"
Weight160 lb
Debut2023-06-17
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.047
wOBA Δ+0.107

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.8σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.369
xwOBA (deserved)0.309

Taylor’s wOBA sits at 0.369, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.309 — a gap of 0.060, -1.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 177 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Fielding72026-09-274 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.679
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.262 xwOBA | 5 HRProjection