Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 31 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 200 lb |
| Debut | 2022-07-15 |
Player profile / San Diego Padres
Freddy Fermin
C · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 200 lb · Age 31
Club San Diego Padres
Position C
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 368 | 40 | 92 | 6 | 2 | .271 | .319 | .366 | .685 |
| 2025 | 347 | 32 | 80 | 5 | 1 | .251 | .297 | .339 | .636 |
| 2026 | 265 | 22 | 47 | 4 | 1 | .203 | .274 | .315 | .589 |
| 5 Seasons | 1222 | 121 | 280 | 24 | 4 | .251 | .302 | .364 | .666 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
18
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.291 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.271 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.280 |
| Observed weight | 56% |
xwOBA
0.256
0.267
0.280
0.292
0.303
wOBA
0.262
0.279
0.297
0.316
0.333
ISO
0.098
0.111
0.126
0.141
0.155
K%
16.8%
18.2%
19.8%
21.3%
22.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.5%
18
-16 vs proj
Exit velocity85.5
25
Hard-hit%29.2%
14
-18 vs proj
xBA0.277
12
xSLG0.414
18
xwOBA0.271
20
-18 vs proj
BB%8.0%
44
+24 vs proj
Bat speed66.2
13
K%20.7%
63
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs2.4 · C
94
Catcher Throwing4.2 · C
98
Framing Runs2.7 · C
77
Pop Time1.9 · C
90
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.5 · C
50
SB Success Rate50.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.5% · rebadged research
40
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.9% · rebadged research
74
Correct Decisions66.6% · rebadged research
54
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · borderline
58
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.269 · insufficient sample
81
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
71
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.295 · insufficient sample
96
Resists FastballwOBA 0.349 · validated
29
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.323 · validated
96
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
52
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
128 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.022 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.004 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Fermin’s wOBA sits at 0.297, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.271 — a gap of 0.027, -0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 276 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 7 | 2026-09-14 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.312 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.293 xwOBA | 10 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | 2 K |
| 2026-05-20 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-15 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-12 vs COL0 HR | 1 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB, RBI |
| 2026-04-11 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 11 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB, HBP, 2 R |