Mithrandir Metrics
Player Tampa Bay Rays Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Tampa Bay Rays

Shane McClanahan

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 3", 210 lb · Age 29

Cards
25
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Tampa Bay Rays Position P Roster Current MLB team Status IL-15
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
20221282.5428280166.11940.93
20231123.2921210115.01211.18
20261073.3624240118.01061.12
4 Seasons43233.1098980522.25621.11
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
62
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
56
Arsenal5 metrics
70
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
ERA preseason3.81
ERA current pace3.36
ERA rolling p503.50
Observed weight68%
ERA
2.41 2.93 3.50 4.08 4.60
FIP
2.59 3.07 3.62 4.16 4.65
K%
20.8% 21.9% 23.1% 24.3% 25.4%
BB%
6.8% 7.5% 8.3% 9.0% 9.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.11
85
ERA3.36
73
BB%8.3%
57
K%22.5%
52
xwOBA allowed0.318
43
Barrel allowed8.8%
29
Fastball velo95.5
67
Hard-hit allowed41.9%
25
Whiff%25.0%
67
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Changeup Stuff+107
85
Fastball Stuff+101
44
Mithrandir Stuff+103
60
Slider Stuff+104
71
Curveball Stuff+105
88
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed McClanahan, Shane · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.318 2026-09-13: 0.3182026-09-14: 0.3182026-09-18: 0.3182026-09-19: 0.3182026-09-20: 0.3182026-09-21: 0.3182026-09-22: 0.3182026-09-23: 0.3182026-09-24: 0.3182026-09-25: 0.3182026-09-26: 0.3182026-09-27: 0.318 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 39%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile McClanahan, Shane · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 25%25%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 51%51%Hard hit allowed: 42%42% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal McClanahan, Shane · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 39.2%Changeup: 28.2%Slider: 17.9%Curveball: 14.7% FF39% · 96 mphprimary pitch FF 39%CH 28%SL 18%CU 15% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal McClanahan, Shane · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 39% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 95.5 mphFF96 mphChangeup: 28% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 86.8 mphCH87 mphSlider: 18% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 88.2 mphSL88 mphCurveball: 15% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 50″ drop, 82.1 mphCU82 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 37.6% 430 101 qualified
CH 28.9% 331 107 qualified
SL 19.5% 223 104 qualified
CB 14.1% 161 105 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height6' 3"
Weight210 lb
Debut2020-10-05
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.34
K% Δ+0.005

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.6σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.302
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.318

McClanahan’s wOBA-against sits at 0.302, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.318 — a gap of 0.016, -0.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 125 IP. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching252026-09-03Four-Seam Fastball played up through FF/CH tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202622.0% K | 3.70 ERAProjection
2026-04-14 @ CWS2 ER / 4 K5.0 IP
2026-04-06 vs CHC2 ER / 5 K4.0 IP
2026-03-31 @ MIL2 ER / 4 K4.2 IP