Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Diego Padres Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Diego Padres

Michael King

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 210 lb · Age 31

Cards
31
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club San Diego Padres Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
20241392.9531300173.22011.19
2025533.441515073.1761.20
202612103.2132320185.01591.18
8 Seasons43393.23193967679.27181.19
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
54
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
52
Arsenal5 metrics
54
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
ERA preseason3.42
ERA current pace3.21
ERA rolling p503.26
Observed weight77%
ERA
2.24 2.72 3.26 3.80 4.28
FIP
3.51 3.80 4.11 4.43 4.71
K%
20.0% 20.9% 21.9% 22.9% 23.7%
BB%
7.7% 8.2% 8.8% 9.4% 9.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.23
67
ERA3.21
78
BB%9.2%
47 -16 vs proj
K%20.7%
40 -24 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.322
38
Barrel allowed8.5%
33
Fastball velo93.6
37
Hard-hit allowed34.0%
82
Whiff%21.8%
44 -21 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Changeup Stuff+102
52
Fastball Stuff+102
49
Mithrandir Stuff+103
56
Sinker Stuff+105
70
Slider Stuff+101
42
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed King, Michael · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.322 2026-09-13: 0.3232026-09-14: 0.3232026-09-18: 0.3212026-09-19: 0.3212026-09-20: 0.3212026-09-21: 0.3212026-09-22: 0.3212026-09-23: 0.3222026-09-24: 0.3222026-09-25: 0.3222026-09-26: 0.3222026-09-27: 0.322 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 28%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile King, Michael · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 22%22%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 52%52%Hard hit allowed: 34%34% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal King, Michael · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 28.3%Changeup: 26.3%4-Seam Fastball: 20.2%Sweeper: 18.8%Slider: 6.5% SI28% · 93 mphprimary pitch SI 28%CH 26%FF 20%ST 19%SL 7% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal King, Michael · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Sinker: 28% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 27″ drop, 93.2 mphSI93 mphChangeup: 26% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 86.5 mphCH86 mph4-Seam Fastball: 20% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 94.2 mphFF94 mphSweeper: 19% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 38″ drop, 82.0 mphST82 mphSlider: 7% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 85.5 mphSL85 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 27.7% 539 105 qualified
SL 26.9% 524 101 qualified
CH 24.6% 478 102 qualified
FB 20.9% 406 102 qualified
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age31
Height6' 3"
Weight210 lb
Debut2019-09-27
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.40
K% Δ-0.032

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.2σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.317
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.322

King’s wOBA-against sits at 0.317, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.322 — a gap of 0.005, -0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 187 IP. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching312026-09-22Four-Seam Fastball played up through SI/ST tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202623.9% K | 3.61 ERAProjection
2026-04-14 vs SEA1 ER / 5 K6.0 IP
2026-04-08 @ PIT2 ER / 4 K6.0 IP
2026-04-03 @ BOS4 ER / 5 K5.2 IP
2026-03-27 vs DET0 ER / 6 K5.0 IP