Mithrandir Metrics
Player MIA Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / MIA

Brian Navarreto

Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 233 lb · Age 31

Cards
7
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club MIA Position -- Roster profile Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202050200.400.400.400.800
2025153410.286.267.643.910
2026618710.135.193.250.443
3 Seasons81111320.183.221.338.559
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
6
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
10
Defense4 metrics
63
Speed1 metrics
15
Plate skills10 metrics
47
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
xwOBA preseason0.275
xwOBA current pace0.178
xwOBA rolling p500.254
Observed weight22%
xwOBA
0.176 0.213 0.254 0.295 0.332
wOBA
0.168 0.201 0.238 0.275 0.308
ISO
0.040 0.084 0.132 0.181 0.224
K%
15.9% 20.2% 25.0% 29.8% 34.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.3%
28
Exit velocity77.8
1
Hard-hit%21.6%
4 -36 vs proj
xBA0.213
0
xSLG0.321
3
xwOBA0.178
1 -38 vs proj
BB%3.3%
4
Bat speed69.1
43
K%32.8%
6 -57 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.2 · C
45
Catcher Throwing2.2 · C
88
Framing Runs-0.5 · C
43
Pop Time1.9 · C
78
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.9 · C
15
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-27
Avoids Bad ChasesST 57.7% · rebadged research
15
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.7% · rebadged research
66
Correct Decisions62.1% · rebadged research
16
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.279 · borderline
73
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
65
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280 · validated thin sample
46
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.339 · insufficient sample
20
Resists FastballwOBA 0.329 · validated
70
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.345 · validated
78
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
23
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Navarreto, Brian · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.178 2026-09-13: 0.1792026-09-14: 0.1792026-09-18: 0.1792026-09-19: 0.1762026-09-20: 0.1762026-09-21: 0.1762026-09-22: 0.1762026-09-23: 0.1762026-09-24: 0.1762026-09-25: 0.1762026-09-26: 0.1782026-09-27: 0.178 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

19 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Navarreto, Brian · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 16% of plotted batted ballsPull 16%Center field third: 79% of plotted batted ballsCenter 79%Right field third: 5% of plotted batted ballsOppo 5% LF 344 CF 400 RF 335 2026-03-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.4 / LA -3.02026-03-16 · field out · SL · popup · EV 74.9 / LA 63.02026-03-17 · double · CH · fly_ball · EV 87.1 / LA 27.02026-06-24 · sac bunt · SL · ground_ball · EV 22.7 / LA 18.02026-06-30 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 93.2 / LA 38.02026-07-01 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 66.9 / LA -43.02026-08-16 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 72.7 / LA -10.02026-08-16 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 6.3 / LA -2.02026-08-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 79.7 / LA -49.02026-08-17 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 94.2 / LA 5.02026-08-17 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 103.4 / LA 23.02026-08-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.7 / LA -25.02026-08-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 70.0 / LA -28.02026-08-31 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 76.8 / LA 10.02026-08-31 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 61.7 / LA -20.02026-09-01 · field out · FF · popup · EV 75.5 / LA 78.02026-09-04 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 38.02026-09-08 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 101.2 / LA 7.02026-09-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 0.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Navarreto, Brian · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 41%41%Whiff: 30%30%Zone contact: 83%83%Contact: 70%70%Hard hit: 22%22% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.116
wOBA Δ-0.055
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Fielding72026-08-311 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.370
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.293 xwOBA | 7 HRProjection