Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Mets Refreshed Sep 28 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Mets

Jorge Polanco

DH · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 0", 208 lb · Age 33

Cards
6
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Mets Position DH Roster Current MLB team Status IL-60
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20244694389164.213.296.355.651
202552464125266.265.326.495.821
202614572020.148.201.230.431
13 Seasons4667557108315661.259.326.435.761
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
15
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
22
Defense1 metrics
65
Speed1 metrics
19
Plate skills10 metrics
56
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-28
xwOBA preseason0.340
xwOBA current pace0.234
xwOBA rolling p500.295
Observed weight43%
xwOBA
0.266 0.280 0.295 0.310 0.324
wOBA
0.196 0.216 0.239 0.261 0.281
ISO
0.089 0.108 0.128 0.148 0.166
K%
19.1% 20.6% 22.3% 24.0% 25.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.1%
25 -45 vs proj
Exit velocity85.7
26
Hard-hit%30.4%
18 -46 vs proj
xBA0.257
6
xSLG0.388
10
xwOBA0.234
4 -76 vs proj
BB%6.7%
30 -23 vs proj
Bat speed67.6
27
K%22.7%
51
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 1B
65 Regression applied
Range Runs-0.3 · 1B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.1 · DH
19
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-28
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.5% · rebadged research
40
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.8% · rebadged research
34
Correct Decisions63.4% · rebadged research
22
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.340 · borderline
2
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · insufficient sample
87
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.255 · validated thin sample
93
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.318 · insufficient sample
73
Resists FastballwOBA 0.307 · validated
94
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.338 · validated
84
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
32
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Polanco, Jorge · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.234 2026-09-14: 0.2342026-09-18: 0.2342026-09-19: 0.2342026-09-20: 0.2342026-09-21: 0.2342026-09-22: 0.2342026-09-23: 0.2342026-09-24: 0.2342026-09-25: 0.2342026-09-26: 0.2342026-09-27: 0.2342026-09-28: 0.234 2026-09-14 2026-09-28 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

81 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Polanco, Jorge · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 9% of plotted batted ballsPull 9%Center field third: 62% of plotted batted ballsCenter 62%Right field third: 30% of plotted batted ballsOppo 30% LF 335 CF 408 RF 330 2026-03-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA -4.02026-03-15 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 104.7 / LA 0.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.0 / LA 29.02026-03-17 · field out · CH · popup · EV 77.0 / LA 52.02026-03-17 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.9 / LA -3.02026-03-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.1 / LA -39.02026-03-19 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 94.9 / LA 11.02026-03-19 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 85.8 / LA -26.02026-03-21 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 67.3 / LA 32.02026-03-21 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 93.1 / LA 12.02026-03-21 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.9 / LA -3.02026-03-21 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 40.5 / LA -10.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.1 / LA 42.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.3 / LA -28.02026-03-22 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 80.7 / LA 44.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.0 / LA 23.02026-03-26 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 44.2 / LA -54.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 53.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · popup · EV 85.5 / LA 69.02026-03-29 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 85.5 / LA -18.02026-03-29 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 76.5 / LA -5.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 91.6 / LA 22.02026-03-29 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 94.9 / LA 29.02026-03-30 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 59.5 / LA 37.02026-03-30 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 97.3 / LA -32.02026-03-30 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 101.5 / LA 13.02026-03-30 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 78.3 / LA -52.02026-03-30 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 79.1 / LA 17.02026-04-01 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 86.3 / LA 10.02026-04-01 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 92.7 / LA 19.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 80.6 / LA 31.02026-04-01 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 103.5 / LA 20.02026-04-02 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 84.4 / LA 25.02026-04-02 · field out · ST · popup · EV 55.7 / LA 48.02026-04-02 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 73.4 / LA 13.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.6 / LA -2.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.2 / LA 33.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 17.02026-04-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA -34.02026-04-05 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 101.2 / LA 12.02026-04-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.9 / LA -33.02026-04-05 · double · FS · line_drive · EV 108.7 / LA 13.02026-04-07 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 81.9 / LA 15.02026-04-07 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.2 / LA 2.02026-04-07 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 78.9 / LA 32.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · popup · EV 78.3 / LA 67.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.3 / LA 37.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 33.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · popup · EV 88.6 / LA 62.02026-04-11 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.5 / LA -13.02026-04-11 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 58.1 / LA 9.02026-04-11 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 30.02026-04-11 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.7 / LA -25.02026-04-12 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA -20.02026-04-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 63.1 / LA -32.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.9 / LA 41.02026-04-13 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.1 / LA -13.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 26.02026-04-14 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 90.5 / LA -29.02026-04-14 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 80.9 / LA -5.02026-07-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 79.3 / LA 35.02026-07-31 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.2 / LA -7.02026-08-02 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA -6.02026-08-05 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 104.9 / LA 26.02026-08-05 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 97.3 / LA 21.02026-08-05 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 91.0 / LA 23.02026-08-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.9 / LA 51.02026-08-07 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 87.4 / LA -19.02026-08-07 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 87.8 / LA 34.02026-08-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.7 / LA 35.02026-08-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 71.4 / LA 6.02026-08-11 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.3 / LA 17.02026-08-11 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 83.8 / LA 48.02026-08-15 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 108.5 / LA 10.02026-08-15 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 92.7 / LA 43.02026-08-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.1 / LA -5.02026-08-16 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 69.2 / LA -23.02026-08-16 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.6 / LA 9.02026-08-17 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 87.8 / LA 59.02026-08-17 · single · ST · popup · EV 66.3 / LA 35.02026-08-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 87.8 / LA 2.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Polanco, Jorge · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 29%29%Whiff: 20%20%Zone contact: 89%89%Contact: 80%80%Hard hit: 30%30% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Polanco, Jorge · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 69.5 mph Hard swing rate 4% Whiff / swing 16% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age33
Height6' 0"
Weight208 lb
Debut2014-06-26
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.099
wOBA Δ-0.094

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.1σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.239
xwOBA (deserved)0.234

Polanco’s wOBA sits at 0.239, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.234 — a gap of 0.005, -0.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 163 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting62025-10-19Launch window quality outpaced the final line
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.333 xwOBA | 23 HRProjection
2026-08-15 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2 K
2026-04-14 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K
2026-04-13 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-3
2026-04-12 vs ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K
2026-04-11 vs ATH1 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-5 | HR, K, RBI