The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Raleigh, Cal in signal, the comp in amber.

SEA · bats L · 542 PA

Ranked comps for Raleigh, Cal

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 658 PA 0.59 Oppo rateSwing lengthSweet-spot rate Fly-ball rate -1.9zWalk rate -1.7zGround-ball rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 647 PA 0.53 Barrel rateWhiff rateAvg exit velocity Fly-ball rate -2.0zGround-ball rate +1.5zChase rate -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Hoskins, Rhys CLE · R · 336 PA 0.45 In-zone contactAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate Fly-ball rate -2.4zChase rate -2.4zBat speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 401 PA 0.44 Sprint speedSweet-spot rateWalk rate Fly-ball rate -1.8zChase rate -1.4zBarrel rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 672 PA 0.44 Barrel rateOppo rateAvg exit velocity Fly-ball rate -1.9zSwing length -1.9zGround-ball rate +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 510 PA 0.43 Swing lengthWhiff rateSprint speed Fly-ball rate -2.1zSweet-spot rate +1.6zChase rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 378 PA 0.42 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact Fly-ball rate -2.0zGround-ball rate +1.7zBat speed -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 381 PA 0.40 Isolated powerxwOBA on contactSprint speed Fly-ball rate -3.0zGround-ball rate +2.0zChase rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 622 PA 0.40 Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactMax exit velocity Chase rate -2.0zSwing length -1.8zOppo rate +1.7z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA 0.39 Barrel rateStrikeout rateSweet-spot rate Walk rate -1.8zFly-ball rate -1.7zSprint speed +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Neto, Zach LAA · R · 716 PA 0.38 Strikeout rateChase rateAvg exit velocity Swing length -1.9zMax exit velocity -1.6zFly-ball rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 632 PA 0.37 Strikeout rateWhiff rateAvg exit velocity Chase rate -2.5zSweet-spot rate +2.2zMax exit velocity -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.