The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Aranda, Jonathan in signal, the comp in amber.
TB · bats L · 685 PA
Ranked comps for Aranda, Jonathan
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 491 PA | 0.78 | Oppo ratexwOBA on contactBat speed | Chase rate -1.2zSprint speed +1.0zWhiff rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 675 PA | 0.72 | Chase rateBat speedxwOBA on contact | Fly-ball rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.1zStrikeout rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Busch, Michael CHC · L · 726 PA | 0.69 | Isolated powerMax exit velocityStrikeout rate | Pull rate +1.2zAvg exit velocity -1.0zWalk rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 692 PA | 0.66 | In-zone contactWalk rateChase rate | Sprint speed +1.7zBat speed +1.2zBarrel rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 486 PA | 0.66 | Chase ratexwOBA on contactWalk rate | Bat speed +1.5zWhiff rate +1.3zMax exit velocity +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 492 PA | 0.65 | Isolated powerMax exit velocityOppo rate | Fly-ball rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.0zSprint speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 442 PA | 0.65 | xwOBA on contactSprint speedWhiff rate | Fly-ball rate -1.4zBat speed +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 721 PA | 0.65 | Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity | Ground-ball rate +1.6zSwing length +1.1zFly-ball rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 671 PA | 0.64 | Barrel ratexwOBA on contactChase rate | Sprint speed +1.7zOppo rate -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA | 0.64 | Barrel rateSprint speedIn-zone contact | Walk rate +1.2zOppo rate -1.2zBat speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 469 PA | 0.63 | Whiff rateBat speedSwing length | Max exit velocity -1.2zOppo rate -1.1zPull rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 356 PA | 0.63 | In-zone contactStrikeout rateSwing length | Pull rate +1.2zGround-ball rate +1.2zFly-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.