Mithrandir Metrics
Player Los Angeles Angels Refreshed Sep 28 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Los Angeles Angels

Mitch Farris

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 195 lb · Age 25

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Los Angeles Angels Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2025136.6655024.1241.44
2026144.05330160.0631.48
2 Seasons274.80385184.1871.47
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
41
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
36
Arsenal5 metrics
15
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-28
ERA preseason5.04
ERA current pace3.57
ERA rolling p504.27
Observed weight52%
ERA
2.95 3.57 4.27 4.97 5.60
FIP
3.60 4.06 4.57 5.08 5.54
K%
20.0% 21.5% 23.2% 25.0% 26.5%
BB%
7.9% 8.8% 9.8% 10.8% 11.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.50
22
ERA3.57
68
BB%11.0%
26 -21 vs proj
K%24.3%
67 +29 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.339
23
Barrel allowed9.1%
25
Fastball velo91.7
12
Hard-hit allowed44.8%
10
Whiff%25.2%
69
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-28
Fastball Stuff+95
12
Mithrandir Stuff+94
10
Changeup Stuff+92
8
Cutter Stuff+100
40
Slider Stuff+92
5
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Farris, Mitch · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.339 2026-09-14: 0.3532026-09-18: 0.3472026-09-19: 0.3472026-09-20: 0.3472026-09-21: 0.3392026-09-22: 0.3392026-09-23: 0.3392026-09-24: 0.3352026-09-25: 0.3352026-09-26: 0.3352026-09-27: 0.3392026-09-28: 0.339 2026-09-14 2026-09-28 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 45%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Farris, Mitch · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 35%35%Zone: 42%42%Whiff: 25%25%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 43%43%Hard hit allowed: 45%45% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Farris, Mitch · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 44.7%Changeup: 25.5%Cutter: 15.9%Slider: 13.9% FF45% · 92 mphprimary pitch FF 45%CH 26%FC 16%SL 14% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Farris, Mitch · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 45% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 91.7 mphFF92 mphChangeup: 26% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 44″ drop, 78.8 mphCH79 mphCutter: 16% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 88.8 mphFC89 mphSlider: 14% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 45″ drop, 81.7 mphSL82 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 42.1% 263 95 qualified
CH 26.6% 166 92 limited sample
FC 16.0% 100 100 limited sample
SL 15.4% 96 92 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age25
Height6' 2"
Weight195 lb
Debut2025-09-02
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.11
K% Δ+0.039

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.2σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.375
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.339

Farris’s wOBA-against sits at 0.375, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.339 — a gap of 0.037, 1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 59 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching22026-03-104-Seam Fastball played up through CH/FC tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202620.4% K | 4.68 ERAProjection
2026-04-13 @ NYY0 ER / 1 K1.1 IP
2026-04-07 vs ATL0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP