Mithrandir Metrics
Player ATH Refreshed Sep 28 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / ATH

Luis Morales

Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 200 lb · Age 24

Cards
7
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club ATH Position -- Roster profile Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2025433.14109048.2431.15
20260213.5052016.0132.56
2 Seasons455.711511064.2561.50
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
3
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
18
Arsenal5 metrics
17
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-28
ERA preseason3.90
ERA current pace13.50
ERA rolling p507.16
Observed weight34%
ERA
5.91 6.50 7.16 7.81 8.40
FIP
5.13 5.58 6.08 6.58 7.03
K%
15.9% 17.9% 20.2% 22.5% 24.5%
BB%
8.7% 9.9% 11.1% 12.3% 13.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP2.27
0
ERA13.50
0
BB%17.1%
1 -46 vs proj
K%16.3%
12 -28 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.407
1 -28 vs proj
Barrel allowed11.1%
7
Fastball velo96.8
86
Hard-hit allowed42.0%
25
Whiff%20.1%
27 -25 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-28
Changeup Stuff+76
1
Fastball Stuff+99
24
Mithrandir Stuff+95
12
Sinker Stuff+86
2
Slider Stuff+101
44
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Morales, Luis · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.407 2026-09-14: 0.4072026-09-18: 0.4072026-09-19: 0.4072026-09-20: 0.4072026-09-21: 0.4072026-09-22: 0.4072026-09-23: 0.4072026-09-24: 0.4072026-09-25: 0.4072026-09-26: 0.4072026-09-27: 0.4072026-09-28: 0.407 2026-09-14 2026-09-28 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 45%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Morales, Luis · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 40%40%Zone: 43%43%Whiff: 20%20%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 47%47%Hard hit allowed: 42%42% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Morales, Luis · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 44.9%Slider: 19.6%Sweeper: 13.6%Sinker: 13.0%Changeup: 8.8% FF45% · 97 mphprimary pitch FF 45%SL 20%ST 14%SI 13%CH 9% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Morales, Luis · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 45% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 96.9 mphFF97 mphSlider: 20% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 85.7 mphSL86 mphSweeper: 14% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 46″ drop, 80.8 mphST81 mphSinker: 13% usage, 8″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 96.6 mphSI97 mphChangeup: 9% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 89.3 mphCH89 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 45.2% 117 99 limited sample
SL 29.0% 75 101 limited sample
SI 14.3% 37 86 limited sample
CH 11.6% 30 76 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+9.17
K% Δ-0.044
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching72026-04-044-Seam Fastball played up through CH/ST tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202620.6% K | 4.33 ERAProjection