Mithrandir Metrics
Player MIA Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / MIA

Cade Gibson

Player · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 195 lb · Age 28

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club MIA Position -- Roster profile Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2025452.63441054.2431.19
2026625.36471050.1441.39
2 Seasons1073.949120105.0871.29
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
39
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
45
Arsenal6 metrics
50
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
ERA preseason4.56
ERA current pace5.44
ERA rolling p504.99
Observed weight49%
ERA
3.89 4.41 4.99 5.57 6.09
FIP
3.33 3.72 4.16 4.59 4.99
K%
16.4% 17.7% 19.2% 20.6% 21.9%
BB%
7.1% 8.0% 9.0% 10.1% 11.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.50
22
ERA5.44
18
BB%9.6%
42
K%19.7%
33
xwOBA allowed0.288
79 +61 vs proj
Barrel allowed3.2%
97 +45 vs proj
Fastball velo92.1
17
Hard-hit allowed35.7%
71
Whiff%19.7%
25
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Mithrandir Stuff+104
70
Slider Stuff+112
98
Changeup Stuff+101
40
Curveball Stuff+105
84
Fastball Stuff+90
3
Sinker Stuff+92
7
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Gibson, Cade · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.288 2026-09-13: 0.2992026-09-14: 0.2992026-09-18: 0.2952026-09-19: 0.2952026-09-20: 0.2952026-09-21: 0.2952026-09-22: 0.2952026-09-23: 0.2942026-09-24: 0.2902026-09-25: 0.2902026-09-26: 0.2902026-09-27: 0.288 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 27%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Gibson, Cade · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 20%20%Called strike: 21%21%First pitch strike: 54%54%Hard hit allowed: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Gibson, Cade · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sweeper: 26.5%Sinker: 22.6%Curveball: 21.3%Slider: 15.9%Changeup: 8.8%4-Seam Fastball: 5.0% ST27% · 80 mphprimary pitch ST 27%SI 23%CU 21%SL 16%CH 9%FF 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Gibson, Cade · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Sweeper: 27% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 43″ drop, 80.2 mphST80 mphSinker: 23% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 92.2 mphSI92 mphCurveball: 21% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 60″ drop, 79.0 mphCU79 mphSlider: 16% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 30″ drop, 87.3 mphSL87 mphChangeup: 9% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 86.4 mphCH86 mph4-Seam Fastball: 5% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 92.0 mphFF92 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 43.1% 221 112 qualified
SI 21.6% 111 92 limited sample
CB 20.5% 105 105 limited sample
CH 9.6% 49 101 limited sample
FB 5.3% 27 90 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+1.00
K% Δ+0.012

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

2.1σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.355
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.288

Gibson’s wOBA-against sits at 0.355, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.288 — a gap of 0.067, 2.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 49 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching22026-08-18Command and chase profile drove the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202618.5% K | 4.44 ERAProjection