Mithrandir Metrics
Player Athletics Refreshed Sep 28 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Athletics

Jacob Wilson

SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 190 lb · Age 24

Cards
9
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Athletics Position SS Roster Current MLB team Status IL-60
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024103112300.250.314.315.629
202552362151135.311.355.444.799
2026337378574.266.298.388.686
3 Seasons963110259209.288.331.411.742
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
18
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
23
Defense4 metrics
85
Speed2 metrics
25
Plate skills10 metrics
43
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-28
xwOBA preseason0.319
xwOBA current pace0.282
xwOBA rolling p500.297
Observed weight61%
xwOBA
0.274 0.285 0.297 0.308 0.319
wOBA
0.299 0.314 0.331 0.348 0.363
ISO
0.110 0.121 0.134 0.147 0.159
K%
8.4% 9.4% 10.4% 11.4% 12.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.0%
12
Exit velocity83.9
12
Hard-hit%29.3%
15
xBA0.299
28
xSLG0.394
11
xwOBA0.282
28 -33 vs proj
BB%3.4%
5
Bat speed62.6
2
K%11.1%
97
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · SS
74
Arm Strength91.8 · SS
81
Outs Above Avg9.0 · SS
94
Range Runs6.9 · SS
90
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts1.0 · SS
11
Sprint Speed27.0 · SS
38
SB Success Rate100.0% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-28
Avoids Bad ChasesST 55.7% · rebadged research
11
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.6% · rebadged research
44
Correct Decisions63.3% · rebadged research
22
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline91
13
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.282 · borderline
66
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
65
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292 · validated thin sample
24
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.318 · insufficient sample
73
Resists FastballwOBA 0.309 · validated
92
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.375 · validated
17
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Wilson, Jacob · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.282 2026-09-14: 0.2822026-09-18: 0.2822026-09-19: 0.2822026-09-20: 0.2822026-09-21: 0.2822026-09-22: 0.2822026-09-23: 0.2822026-09-24: 0.2822026-09-25: 0.2822026-09-26: 0.2822026-09-27: 0.2822026-09-28: 0.282 2026-09-14 2026-09-28 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

193 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Wilson, Jacob · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 11% of plotted batted ballsPull 11%Center field third: 75% of plotted batted ballsCenter 75%Right field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsOppo 15% LF 325 CF 403 RF 325 2026-03-16 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 98.2 / LA 12.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.3 / LA -12.02026-03-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA 5.02026-03-19 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.1 / LA -23.02026-03-19 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.2 / LA -13.02026-03-19 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 86.6 / LA 26.02026-03-20 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.5 / LA 12.02026-03-20 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 96.7 / LA 8.02026-03-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.1 / LA -27.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 78.4 / LA 12.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.0 / LA 2.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 92.7 / LA 20.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 40.02026-03-27 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.9 / LA -13.02026-03-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.7 / LA -8.02026-03-28 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 98.4 / LA -6.02026-03-28 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 93.3 / LA 17.02026-03-28 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 99.6 / LA 3.02026-03-29 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 98.6 / LA 19.02026-03-29 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 78.1 / LA 34.02026-03-29 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 4.02026-03-30 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 5.02026-03-30 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 88.3 / LA 52.02026-03-30 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 80.4 / LA -39.02026-03-30 · field error · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.3 / LA -5.02026-03-31 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 19.7 / LA -54.02026-03-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 90.1 / LA -24.02026-03-31 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 95.1 / LA 22.02026-03-31 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 88.3 / LA -7.02026-04-01 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 74.4 / LA 18.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.9 / LA -22.02026-04-01 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 82.8 / LA 34.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.1 / LA -6.02026-04-03 · field out · ST · popup · EV 45.4 / LA 46.02026-04-03 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 82.7 / LA 40.02026-04-03 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA -11.02026-04-03 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 93.3 / LA 14.02026-04-04 · field out · SL · popup · EV 67.0 / LA 64.02026-04-04 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA -3.02026-04-04 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA -13.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · popup · EV 52.4 / LA 61.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.6 / LA -27.02026-04-05 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 87.5 / LA -22.02026-04-05 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 92.6 / LA -23.02026-04-05 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA -4.02026-04-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 71.8 / LA -70.02026-04-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.0 / LA -28.02026-04-07 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 78.4 / LA 39.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 39.02026-04-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 8.02026-04-08 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 81.6 / LA 39.02026-04-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.7 / LA -9.02026-04-09 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 76.3 / LA -12.02026-04-09 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 72.1 / LA 21.02026-04-09 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 101.4 / LA 14.02026-04-09 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 14.3 / LA -48.02026-04-10 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 98.6 / LA 18.02026-04-10 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 100.5 / LA 10.02026-04-10 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 79.0 / LA 16.02026-04-10 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 94.5 / LA 15.02026-04-11 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.2 / LA 2.02026-04-11 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 78.8 / LA 14.02026-04-11 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 40.7 / LA -15.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 67.4 / LA -32.02026-04-13 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 84.6 / LA 23.02026-04-13 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 84.6 / LA 22.02026-04-13 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA -2.02026-04-13 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 57.6 / LA 6.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 41.3 / LA -77.02026-04-14 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.1 / LA 4.02026-04-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 84.8 / LA -6.02026-04-15 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 82.7 / LA 3.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 95.4 / LA 23.02026-04-15 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 38.02026-04-16 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 68.8 / LA 28.02026-04-16 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 34.02026-04-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 63.8 / LA 9.02026-04-16 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.7 / LA 9.02026-04-16 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 96.9 / LA 24.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 98.6 / LA 41.02026-04-17 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 88.4 / LA -18.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 49.6 / LA -36.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 49.6 / LA -66.02026-04-18 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 101.3 / LA 25.02026-04-18 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 81.9 / LA 16.02026-04-18 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 94.9 / LA 32.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 24.02026-04-18 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.4 / LA -4.02026-04-19 · single · SI · ground_ball2026-04-19 · field out · FF · popup · EV 86.4 / LA 84.02026-04-19 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 93.1 / LA 46.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 79.0 / LA 42.02026-04-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.6 / LA -1.02026-04-20 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 79.0 / LA 22.02026-04-20 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.2 / LA -15.02026-04-20 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 79.2 / LA 34.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 63.2 / LA -6.02026-04-21 · double · ST · ground_ball · EV 93.4 / LA -8.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA -1.02026-04-21 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 83.7 / LA 20.02026-04-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.8 / LA -17.02026-04-22 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 73.2 / LA 43.02026-04-22 · double · FS · ground_ball · EV 95.4 / LA 2.02026-04-22 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 57.02026-04-24 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 77.5 / LA -25.02026-04-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA -11.02026-04-24 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 97.2 / LA 18.02026-04-24 · field out · FS · popup · EV 70.1 / LA 75.02026-04-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.5 / LA -10.02026-04-25 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.5 / LA -15.02026-04-25 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 105.4 / LA 15.02026-04-25 · sac fly · FF · line_drive · EV 86.4 / LA 27.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.7 / LA -22.02026-04-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.3 / LA -3.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA -3.02026-04-26 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 74.9 / LA -9.02026-04-28 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 93.1 / LA 15.02026-04-28 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 93.9 / LA -15.02026-04-28 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 93.0 / LA 27.02026-04-29 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 90.4 / LA 20.02026-04-29 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 60.5 / LA 20.02026-04-29 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 84.0 / LA 42.02026-04-30 · double play · ST · fly_ball · EV 75.9 / LA 24.02026-04-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -14.02026-04-30 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 87.1 / LA 39.02026-04-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 76.5 / LA 14.02026-04-30 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 91.7 / LA 15.02026-05-01 · fielders choice out · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.1 / LA -11.02026-05-01 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.6 / LA 12.02026-05-01 · field error · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.8 / LA -3.02026-05-01 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 77.3 / LA 42.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.7 / LA -18.02026-05-02 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 35.9 / LA -52.02026-05-02 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 103.2 / LA 11.02026-05-03 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 78.9 / LA 35.02026-05-03 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.8 / LA -10.02026-05-03 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 46.4 / LA 27.02026-05-03 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 85.1 / LA 19.02026-05-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.5 / LA -14.02026-05-05 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.9 / LA -27.02026-05-05 · sac bunt · CH · ground_ball · EV 29.4 / LA -63.02026-05-06 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 80.9 / LA 7.02026-05-06 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 69.3 / LA 25.02026-05-06 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 65.3 / LA 9.02026-05-06 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 40.5 / LA -13.02026-05-07 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.3 / LA -3.02026-05-07 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 25.02026-05-07 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 102.5 / LA 17.02026-05-07 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 72.7 / LA 36.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 27.02026-05-08 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.8 / LA -24.02026-05-08 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 72.1 / LA 4.02026-05-09 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 83.8 / LA 37.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 83.4 / LA 8.02026-05-10 · field error · SI · ground_ball · EV 60.8 / LA -45.02026-05-10 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA 4.02026-06-15 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.5 / LA 42.02026-06-15 · double · ST · fly_ball · EV 77.7 / LA 44.02026-06-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.9 / LA 26.02026-06-15 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 88.7 / LA -16.02026-06-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA -13.02026-06-18 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 91.1 / LA 21.02026-06-18 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 68.0 / LA 24.02026-06-20 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 64.9 / LA -16.02026-06-20 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 81.4 / LA 24.02026-06-20 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 101.2 / LA 14.02026-06-24 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 95.6 / LA -6.02026-06-24 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 77.7 / LA 16.02026-07-27 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 65.9 / LA -10.02026-07-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.7 / LA -15.02026-07-27 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 88.0 / LA -29.02026-07-31 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 90.9 / LA 15.02026-07-31 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 101.0 / LA 8.02026-07-31 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 85.2 / LA 17.02026-08-04 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 69.4 / LA 3.02026-08-04 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 97.4 / LA 20.02026-08-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.0 / LA -9.02026-08-05 · field out · ST · popup · EV 89.8 / LA 66.02026-08-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 87.0 / LA -23.02026-08-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 87.8 / LA -1.02026-08-05 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 32.02026-08-07 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 51.1 / LA -10.02026-08-08 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 105.4 / LA 13.02026-08-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.3 / LA -2.02026-08-08 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 76.2 / LA 39.02026-08-08 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 93.3 / LA 22.02026-08-08 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 90.3 / LA 19.02026-08-11 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.3 / LA -13.02026-08-11 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 79.3 / LA 8.02026-08-11 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 65.8 / LA 3.02026-08-16 · field out · ST · popup · EV 74.8 / LA 81.02026-08-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.6 / LA 28.02026-08-16 · force out · CH · ground_ball 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Wilson, Jacob · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 42%42%Whiff: 13%13%Zone contact: 94%94%Contact: 87%87%Hard hit: 29%29% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Wilson, Jacob · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 63.8 mph Hard swing rate 1% Whiff / swing 13% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age24
Height6' 2"
Weight190 lb
Debut2024-07-19
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.030
wOBA Δ+0.018

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.7σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.331
xwOBA (deserved)0.282

Wilson’s wOBA sits at 0.331, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.282 — a gap of 0.049, -1.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 351 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

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Giménez, Andrés TOR · L 0.45 Isolated powerWalk rate Player · Projection
Mangum, Jake PIT · L 0.43 Barrel rateHard-hit rate Player · Projection
Isbel, Kyle KC · L 0.43 Avg exit velocityFly-ball rate Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Fielding92026-08-164 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.612
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.313 xwOBA | 13 HRProjection
2026-04-20 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E2-4 | R
2026-04-17 vs CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E0-4
2026-04-15 vs TEX1 HR | 2 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E2-4 | HR, 2 RBI, R
2026-04-14 vs TEX0 HR | 2 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E1-3 | BB, K, 2 RBI
2026-04-13 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-4