Mithrandir Metrics
Player MIN Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / MIN

Mike Paredes

Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 185 lb · Age 26

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club MIN Position -- Roster profile Status IL-60
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2026034.7295034.1191.43
1 Seasons034.7295034.1191.43
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
28
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
27
Arsenal5 metrics
41
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.43
32
ERA4.72
32
BB%8.4%
56
K%12.3%
2
xwOBA allowed0.348
16
Barrel allowed6.8%
62
Fastball velo93.0
27
Hard-hit allowed50.8%
1
Whiff%17.9%
12
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Changeup Stuff+104
65
Cutter Stuff+90
2
Fastball Stuff+101
43
Mithrandir Stuff+100
28
Slider Stuff+104
65
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Paredes, Mike · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.348 2026-09-13: 0.3492026-09-14: 0.3492026-09-18: 0.3492026-09-19: 0.3492026-09-20: 0.3492026-09-21: 0.3492026-09-22: 0.3492026-09-23: 0.3492026-09-24: 0.3492026-09-25: 0.3492026-09-26: 0.3482026-09-27: 0.348 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 37%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Paredes, Mike · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 18%18%Called strike: 14%14%First pitch strike: 47%47%Hard hit allowed: 51%51% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Paredes, Mike · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 37.0%Changeup: 25.6%Sweeper: 22.0%Cutter: 15.4% FF37% · 93 mphprimary pitch FF 37%CH 26%ST 22%FC 15% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Paredes, Mike · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 37% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 93.0 mphFF93 mphChangeup: 26% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 87.7 mphCH88 mphSweeper: 22% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 42″ drop, 79.2 mphST79 mphCutter: 15% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 87.4 mphFC87 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 44.3% 77 101 limited sample
CH 23.6% 41 104 limited sample
FC 17.2% 30 90 limited sample
SL 14.9% 26 104 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.3σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.360
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.348

Paredes’s wOBA-against sits at 0.360, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.348 — a gap of 0.012, 0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 34 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching32026-07-03Four-Seam Fastball played up through CH/ST tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

No projection links or recent game log rows are available yet.