Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 23 |
| Height | 5' 9" |
| Weight | 190 lb |
| Debut | 2026-04-17 |
Player profile / Detroit Tigers
Hao-Yu Lee
2B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 9", 190 lb · Age 23
Club Detroit Tigers
Position 2B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 364 | 40 | 87 | 10 | 3 | .264 | .322 | .424 | .746 |
| 1 Seasons | 364 | 40 | 87 | 10 | 3 | .264 | .322 | .424 | .746 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
59
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.264 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.302 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.288 |
| Observed weight | 62% |
xwOBA
0.242
0.264
0.288
0.312
0.333
wOBA
0.300
0.315
0.332
0.348
0.363
ISO
0.091
0.110
0.130
0.151
0.170
K%
17.5%
20.3%
23.3%
26.4%
29.2%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.8%
66
+32 vs proj
Exit velocity89.0
64
Hard-hit%41.3%
65
+29 vs proj
xBA0.318
51
xSLG0.534
60
xwOBA0.302
50
BB%8.2%
48
+19 vs proj
Bat speed69.4
45
K%23.9%
45
+21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength87.2 · 2B
51
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · 2B
8
Range Runs-9.4 · 2B
3
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-2.2 · 2B
15
SB Success Rate60.0% · 2B
13
Sprint Speed28.1 · 2B
68
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.2% · rebadged research
68
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.8% · rebadged research
75
Correct Decisions68.8% · rebadged research
77
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
79
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.315 · borderline
15
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.252 · insufficient sample
98
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.259 · validated thin sample
90
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.288 · insufficient sample
99
Resists FastballwOBA 0.381 · validated
7
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.361 · validated
39
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
159 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.005 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.035 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Lee’s wOBA sits at 0.332, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.302 — a gap of 0.029, -1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 364 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Myers, Dane CIN · R | 0.66 | Sweet-spot rateSprint speed | Player · Projection |
| Stewart, Sal CIN · R | 0.63 | Sweet-spot rateHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R | 0.61 | Sweet-spot rateStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Benge, Carson NYM · L | 0.61 | Walk rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-09-21 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 24 | 2026-09-27 | 4 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.679 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.297 xwOBA | 6 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | R |
| 2026-05-20 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K |
| 2026-04-20 @ BOS0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2B, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-17 @ BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 1 E | 0-3 | K |