Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 22 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 245 lb |
| Debut | 2026-09-01 |
Player profile / St. Louis Cardinals
Leo Bernal
C · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 0", 245 lb · Age 22
Club St. Louis Cardinals
Position C
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 102 | 12 | 27 | 5 | 0 | .284 | .333 | .474 | .807 |
| 1 Seasons | 102 | 12 | 27 | 5 | 0 | .284 | .333 | .474 | .807 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
91
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.247 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.347 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.279 |
| Observed weight | 32% |
xwOBA
0.227
0.252
0.279
0.306
0.330
wOBA
0.305
0.334
0.366
0.398
0.427
ISO
0.086
0.118
0.153
0.189
0.221
K%
14.0%
18.1%
22.8%
27.5%
31.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.9%
79
+27 vs proj
Exit velocity92.6
96
Hard-hit%55.7%
99
+55 vs proj
xBA0.367
93
xSLG0.661
92
xwOBA0.347
90
+39 vs proj
BB%6.9%
32
-18 vs proj
Bat speed72.0
80
K%24.5%
41
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.6 · C
72
Catcher Throwing0.8 · C
68
Framing Runs0.9 · C
61
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · C
25
Pop Time1.9 · C
85
Range Runs-0.4 · C
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.2 · C
21
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.4% · rebadged research
51
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.2% · rebadged research
80
Correct Decisions66.4% · rebadged research
54
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.292 · borderline
42
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.295 · insufficient sample
17
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
41
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.345 · insufficient sample
15
Resists FastballwOBA 0.375 · validated
9
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
55
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
66
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
54 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.044 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.062 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Bernal’s wOBA sits at 0.366, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.347 — a gap of 0.019, -0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 102 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 5 | 2026-09-26 | 3 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.524 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.304 xwOBA | 7 HR | Projection |
| 2026-03-23 vs STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |