Reference layer
Current snapshot
| MLB bio context is unavailable. |
Player profile / MIA
Joe Mack
Player · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 0", 210 lb · Age 23
Club MIA
Position --
Roster profile
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 330 | 40 | 71 | 14 | 0 | .234 | .282 | .403 | .685 |
| 1 Seasons | 330 | 40 | 71 | 14 | 0 | .234 | .282 | .403 | .685 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
50
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.274 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.292 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.285 |
| Observed weight | 60% |
xwOBA
0.244
0.264
0.285
0.306
0.326
wOBA
0.271
0.286
0.303
0.320
0.336
ISO
0.119
0.134
0.151
0.168
0.184
K%
19.4%
22.1%
25.1%
28.2%
30.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.7%
64
+22 vs proj
Exit velocity87.5
46
Hard-hit%38.2%
50
xBA0.309
37
xSLG0.543
63
xwOBA0.292
37
BB%5.7%
20
-35 vs proj
Bat speed71.8
77
K%24.6%
40
+16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.2 · C
61
Catcher Throwing5.2 · C
100
Framing Runs5.1 · C
89
Pop Time1.9 · C
85
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.1 · C
19
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.3% · rebadged research
69
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.7% · rebadged research
56
Correct Decisions70.6% · rebadged research
89
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
50
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.262 · insufficient sample
91
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.253 · validated thin sample
95
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.340 · insufficient sample
21
Resists FastballwOBA 0.324 · validated
76
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358 · validated
46
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
70
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
132 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.004 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.015 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Mack’s wOBA sits at 0.303, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.292 — a gap of 0.011, -0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 333 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-09-09 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 13 | 2026-09-25 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.148 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.289 xwOBA | 6 HR | Projection |