Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Mets Refreshed Sep 29 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Mets

Nolan McLean

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 214 lb · Age 25

Cards
25
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Mets Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2025512.0688048.0571.04
202612103.1631310179.21941.17
2 Seasons17112.9339390227.22511.14
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
70
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
66
Arsenal7 metrics
72
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-29
ERA preseason3.48
ERA current pace3.16
ERA rolling p503.24
Observed weight76%
ERA
1.93 2.55 3.24 3.93 4.55
FIP
2.39 2.92 3.51 4.10 4.64
K%
24.4% 25.4% 26.5% 27.6% 28.6%
BB%
7.8% 8.4% 9.1% 9.7% 10.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.20
73
ERA3.16
79
BB%9.3%
46
K%25.9%
76
xwOBA allowed0.294
74 +25 vs proj
Barrel allowed6.4%
67 +39 vs proj
Fastball velo95.4
66
Hard-hit allowed35.6%
72
Whiff%21.6%
42 -21 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-29
Curveball Stuff+104
76
Cutter Stuff+104
78
Fastball Stuff+105
68
Mithrandir Stuff+106
84
Sinker Stuff+106
78
Slider Stuff+103
63
Changeup Stuff+103
57
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed McLean, Nolan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.294 2026-09-18: 0.2972026-09-19: 0.2972026-09-20: 0.2972026-09-21: 0.2972026-09-22: 0.2972026-09-23: 0.2972026-09-24: 0.2942026-09-25: 0.2942026-09-26: 0.2942026-09-27: 0.2942026-09-28: 0.2942026-09-29: 0.294 2026-09-18 2026-09-29 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

8Pitches 2026Season 35%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile McLean, Nolan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 22%22%Called strike: 19%19%First pitch strike: 48%48%Hard hit allowed: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal McLean, Nolan · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 34.7%4-Seam Fastball: 19.4%Curveball: 14.4%Sweeper: 10.7%Cutter: 10.5%Changeup: 6.2% SI35% · 95 mphprimary pitch SI 35%FF 19%CU 14%ST 11%FC 11%CH 6% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal McLean, Nolan · 2026 arsenal snapshot 18″36″54″72″ Sinker: 35% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 95.0 mphSI95 mph4-Seam Fastball: 19% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 96.0 mphFF96 mphCurveball: 14% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 55″ drop, 82.0 mphCU82 mphSweeper: 11% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 40″ drop, 84.9 mphST85 mphCutter: 11% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 92.1 mphFC92 mphChangeup: 6% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 88.2 mphCH88 mphSlider: 4% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 86.0 mphSL86 mphSlow Curve: 0% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 64″ drop, 74.8 mphCS75 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 37.4% 765 106 qualified
FB 17.1% 349 105 qualified
SL 14.9% 305 103 qualified
CB 13.0% 266 104 qualified
FC 11.0% 224 104 qualified
CH 6.6% 134 103 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age25
Height6' 2"
Weight214 lb
Debut2025-08-16
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.13
K% Δ+0.007

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.2σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.298
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.294

McLean’s wOBA-against sits at 0.298, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.294 — a gap of 0.004, 0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 176 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching252026-09-23Sinker played up through SI/CU tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202625.2% K | 3.29 ERAProjection
2026-04-14 @ LAD1 ER / 8 K7.0 IP
2026-04-09 vs AZ2 ER / 8 K6.1 IP
2026-04-03 @ SF1 ER / 4 K5.1 IP
2026-03-29 vs PIT2 ER / 8 K5.0 IP