Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 185 lb |
| Debut | 2024-09-28 |
Player profile / San Diego Padres
Dustin Harris
LF · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 2", 185 lb · Age 27
Club San Diego Padres
Position LF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .333 | .429 | 1.000 | 1.429 |
| 2025 | 43 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | .200 | .256 | .350 | .606 |
| 2026 | 152 | 24 | 39 | 0 | 10 | .293 | .353 | .383 | .736 |
| 3 Seasons | 202 | 30 | 49 | 2 | 11 | .274 | .335 | .397 | .732 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
26
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.284 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.313 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.295 |
| Observed weight | 41% |
xwOBA
0.262
0.278
0.295
0.313
0.329
wOBA
0.300
0.324
0.350
0.376
0.400
ISO
0.089
0.113
0.139
0.165
0.189
K%
12.4%
15.3%
18.4%
21.6%
24.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.3%
5
-35 vs proj
Exit velocity82.5
7
Hard-hit%19.1%
2
-31 vs proj
xBA0.326
59
xSLG0.423
22
xwOBA0.313
61
+25 vs proj
BB%7.3%
35
Bat speed63.8
4
K%13.3%
94
+40 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.0 · LF
77
Arm Strength85.0 · LF
2
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
50
Range Runs0.4 · LF
52
Baserunning · percentile strip
SB Success Rate90.0% · LF
81
Sprint Speed28.9 · LF
88
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.3% · rebadged research
44
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.6% · rebadged research
77
Correct Decisions65.8% · rebadged research
46
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.285 · borderline
59
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
59
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.307 · validated thin sample
8
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · insufficient sample
28
Resists FastballwOBA 0.318 · validated
85
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.364 · validated
33
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
57
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
97 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.021 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.058 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Harris’s wOBA sits at 0.350, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.313 — a gap of 0.037, -1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 150 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 9 | 2026-09-26 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.324 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.292 xwOBA | 7 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-20 @ CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, R |
| 2026-04-14 vs TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | BB |
| 2026-04-12 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | 2B, R |
| 2026-04-11 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 |
| 2026-04-09 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, K |