Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 25 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 227 lb |
| Debut | 2024-04-30 |
Player profile / Colorado Rockies
Jordan Beck
LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 227 lb · Age 25
Club Colorado Rockies
Position LF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 184 | 14 | 32 | 3 | 7 | .188 | .245 | .276 | .521 |
| 2025 | 588 | 62 | 139 | 16 | 19 | .258 | .317 | .416 | .733 |
| 2026 | 180 | 17 | 33 | 1 | 2 | .200 | .261 | .291 | .552 |
| 3 Seasons | 952 | 93 | 204 | 20 | 28 | .233 | .292 | .365 | .657 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
27
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.308 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.249 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.280 |
| Observed weight | 48% |
xwOBA
0.251
0.265
0.280
0.296
0.309
wOBA
0.255
0.275
0.297
0.318
0.338
ISO
0.101
0.119
0.139
0.159
0.177
K%
27.0%
28.6%
30.3%
32.0%
33.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.5%
17
-42 vs proj
Exit velocity85.8
27
Hard-hit%33.1%
27
-31 vs proj
xBA0.319
52
xSLG0.441
28
xwOBA0.249
9
-35 vs proj
BB%7.0%
33
Bat speed71.8
77
K%31.5%
11
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.0 · RF
26
Arm Strength91.3 · RF
28
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
25
Range Runs-2.0 · RF
26
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.0 · RF
65
SB Success Rate50.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.3% · rebadged research
26
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.2% · rebadged research
71
Correct Decisions64.6% · rebadged research
32
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.265 · borderline
90
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.269 · insufficient sample
79
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.286 · validated thin sample
32
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.328 · insufficient sample
41
Resists FastballwOBA 0.304 · validated
95
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.339 · validated
84
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
35
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
112 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.048 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.000 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Beck’s wOBA sits at 0.297, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.249 — a gap of 0.048, -1.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 200 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 13 | 2026-09-24 | 3 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.189 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.297 xwOBA | 15 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-20 vs LAD0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 3-4 | 2B, RBI, R |
| 2026-04-15 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-14 @ HOU1 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | HR, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-12 @ SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-11 @ SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |