Reference layer
Current snapshot
| MLB bio context is unavailable. |
Player profile / ATH
Colby Thomas
Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 190 lb · Age 25
Club ATH
Position --
Roster profile
Status Out / inactive
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 132 | 20 | 27 | 6 | 2 | .225 | .267 | .417 | .684 |
| 2026 | 121 | 11 | 23 | 4 | 1 | .202 | .235 | .333 | .568 |
| 2 Seasons | 253 | 31 | 50 | 10 | 3 | .214 | .252 | .376 | .628 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
48
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.272 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.248 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.263 |
| Observed weight | 38% |
xwOBA
0.221
0.241
0.263
0.285
0.305
wOBA
0.259
0.283
0.310
0.337
0.361
ISO
0.104
0.131
0.160
0.190
0.216
K%
21.6%
24.2%
27.0%
29.8%
32.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.8%
94
+29 vs proj
Exit velocity89.1
65
Hard-hit%39.1%
55
-18 vs proj
xBA0.270
11
xSLG0.528
58
xwOBA0.248
8
-39 vs proj
BB%2.9%
3
-23 vs proj
Bat speed74.0
94
K%28.7%
21
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.7 · RF
16
Arm Strength92.8 · RF
43
Outs Above Avg1.0 · RF
80
Range Runs-0.4 · RF
41
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.2 · RF
71
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 53.0% · rebadged research
7
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 17.6% · rebadged research
95
Correct Decisions65.6% · rebadged research
45
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · borderline
25
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
24
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
38
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
31
Resists FastballwOBA 0.342 · validated
40
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.350 · validated
70
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
28
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
52 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.052 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.010 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Thomas’s wOBA sits at 0.310, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.248 — a gap of 0.062, -1.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 136 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 1 | 2026-07-26 | 3 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +4.618 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.300 xwOBA | 11 HR | Projection |