Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 26 |
| Height | 5' 9" |
| Weight | 191 lb |
| Debut | 2023-07-22 |
Player profile / Milwaukee Brewers
Sal Frelick
RF · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 9", 191 lb · Age 26
Club Milwaukee Brewers
Position RF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 524 | 66 | 123 | 2 | 18 | .259 | .320 | .335 | .655 |
| 2025 | 594 | 76 | 152 | 12 | 19 | .288 | .351 | .405 | .756 |
| 2026 | 384 | 36 | 78 | 4 | 7 | .230 | .295 | .319 | .614 |
| 4 Seasons | 1725 | 207 | 400 | 21 | 51 | .261 | .328 | .357 | .685 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
13
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.309 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.280 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.290 |
| Observed weight | 65% |
xwOBA
0.269
0.279
0.290
0.301
0.312
wOBA
0.288
0.302
0.318
0.333
0.347
ISO
0.087
0.097
0.108
0.119
0.130
K%
10.1%
11.0%
12.1%
13.1%
14.0%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.8%
9
Exit velocity84.4
15
Hard-hit%27.6%
11
xBA0.270
11
xSLG0.363
5
xwOBA0.280
25
-29 vs proj
BB%8.0%
45
Bat speed65.8
11
K%10.2%
98
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-2.8 · RF
6
Arm Strength90.4 · RF
22
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
50
Range Runs1.0 · RF
58
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.7 · RF
56
Bolts18.0 · RF
74
SB Success Rate71.4% · RF
30
Sprint Speed28.7 · RF
84
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.8% · rebadged research
84
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.3% · rebadged research
16
Correct Decisions67.5% · rebadged research
63
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
62
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.271 · borderline
85
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.311 · insufficient sample
4
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277 · validated thin sample
56
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.322 · insufficient sample
58
Resists FastballwOBA 0.306 · validated
95
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.333 · validated
91
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
242 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.027 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.011 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Frelick’s wOBA sits at 0.318, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.280 — a gap of 0.038, -1.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 400 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Durbin, Caleb BOS · R | 0.72 | Barrel rateBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Rengifo, Luis MIL · L | 0.56 | Isolated powerPull rate | Player · Projection |
| Straw, Myles TOR · R | 0.55 | Walk rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Cronenworth, Jake SD · L | 0.54 | Swing lengthIsolated power | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-04-28 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 5 | 2026-09-25 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.313 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.307 xwOBA | 10 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | R, SB |
| 2026-04-17 @ MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-6 |
| 2026-04-15 vs TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K, R |
| 2026-04-14 vs TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2 BB, K, R |
| 2026-04-12 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |