Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cincinnati Reds Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds

Connor Phillips

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 209 lb · Age 25

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Cincinnati Reds Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2023116.9755020.2261.50
2025502.88210025.0320.92
2026205.40270130.0291.80
3 Seasons815.00535175.2871.43
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
18
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
34
Arsenal4 metrics
33
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
ERA preseason3.75
ERA current pace5.28
ERA rolling p504.36
Observed weight40%
ERA
2.55 3.41 4.36 5.32 6.18
FIP
2.90 3.53 4.23 4.93 5.56
K%
21.5% 23.9% 26.7% 29.4% 31.9%
BB%
11.0% 12.4% 14.0% 15.7% 17.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.66
9
ERA5.28
21
BB%19.5%
0 -33 vs proj
K%22.6%
54 -27 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.373
5 -47 vs proj
Barrel allowed9.0%
26
Fastball velo98.3
96
Hard-hit allowed40.4%
35
Whiff%23.3%
56 -34 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Fastball Stuff+96
16
Mithrandir Stuff+100
29
Slider Stuff+104
72
Curveball Stuff+99
14
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Phillips, Connor · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.373 2026-09-13: 0.3772026-09-14: 0.3772026-09-18: 0.3772026-09-19: 0.3772026-09-20: 0.3772026-09-21: 0.3772026-09-22: 0.3772026-09-23: 0.3772026-09-24: 0.3772026-09-25: 0.3772026-09-26: 0.3782026-09-27: 0.373 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 50%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Phillips, Connor · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 40%40%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 49%49%Hard hit allowed: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Phillips, Connor · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 50.0%Sweeper: 46.6%Curveball: 3.4% FF50% · 98 mphprimary pitch FF 50%ST 47%CU 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Phillips, Connor · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 50% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 98.3 mphFF98 mphSweeper: 47% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 86.0 mphST86 mphCurveball: 3% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 44″ drop, 87.0 mphCU87 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 48.9% 267 96 qualified
SL 48.2% 263 104 qualified
CB 2.9% 16 99 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age25
Height6' 2"
Weight209 lb
Debut2023-09-05
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+1.35
K% Δ-0.043

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.1σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.370
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.373

Phillips’s wOBA-against sits at 0.370, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.373 — a gap of 0.003, -0.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 34 IP. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202626.9% K | 3.93 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 @ PHI0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-20 @ TB0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-17 @ MIN0 ER / 1 K0.2 IP
2026-04-12 vs LAA0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-11 vs LAA0 ER / 0 K0.2 IP