Mithrandir Metrics
Player Boston Red Sox Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Boston Red Sox

Nate Eaton

LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 200 lb · Age 29

Cards
4
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Boston Red Sox Position LF Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2023562403.075.125.075.200
202590162419.296.348.383.731
2026604812.160.300.260.560
4 Seasons3283864325.221.294.307.601
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
21
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
34
Defense2 metrics
67
Speed2 metrics
75
Plate skills10 metrics
66
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
xwOBA preseason0.246
xwOBA current pace0.285
xwOBA rolling p500.256
Observed weight25%
xwOBA
0.199 0.226 0.256 0.286 0.313
wOBA
0.220 0.252 0.288 0.323 0.355
ISO
0.044 0.068 0.095 0.122 0.146
K%
19.3% 22.2% 25.5% 28.8% 31.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.7%
19
Exit velocity86.3
32
Hard-hit%31.0%
20
xBA0.255
5
xSLG0.421
20
xwOBA0.285
30 +17 vs proj
BB%12.2%
89 +57 vs proj
Bat speed71.2
73
K%28.4%
22
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength98.6 · CF
85
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
50
Arm Runs1.6 · CF
Small sample
Range Runs0.8 · CF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts7.0 · LF
54
Sprint Speed29.5 · LF
95
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-27
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.9% · rebadged research
52
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 16.9% · rebadged research
96
Correct Decisions69.5% · rebadged research
82
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.290 · borderline
45
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
54
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277 · validated thin sample
59
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.321 · insufficient sample
60
Resists FastballwOBA 0.334 · validated
57
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.353 · validated
62
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
89
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Eaton, Nate · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.285 2026-09-13: 0.2832026-09-14: 0.2702026-09-18: 0.2732026-09-19: 0.2832026-09-20: 0.2832026-09-21: 0.2902026-09-22: 0.2902026-09-23: 0.2852026-09-24: 0.2852026-09-25: 0.2852026-09-26: 0.2852026-09-27: 0.285 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

28 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Eaton, Nate · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsPull 14%Center field third: 71% of plotted batted ballsCenter 71%Right field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsOppo 14% LF 310 CF 390 RF 302 2026-03-15 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.6 / LA 36.02026-03-15 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 38.02026-03-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 40.02026-03-17 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 68.0 / LA 27.02026-03-17 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.2 / LA 16.02026-03-19 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.4 / LA 41.02026-03-19 · field out · FF · popup · EV 71.9 / LA 66.02026-03-21 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 78.9 / LA -42.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 67.6 / LA 55.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · popup · EV 83.1 / LA 67.02026-06-24 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 35.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 78.2 / LA 41.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 103.2 / LA 17.02026-06-24 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 90.7 / LA 24.02026-07-01 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 61.9 / LA -1.02026-07-01 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 91.8 / LA -12.02026-09-09 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 7.02026-09-09 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 74.0 / LA -38.02026-09-09 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 88.7 / LA 24.02026-09-09 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 46.02026-09-13 · field out · FF · popup · EV 66.5 / LA 74.02026-09-18 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 88.8 / LA 13.02026-09-18 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 86.9 / LA 55.02026-09-18 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 79.2 / LA 33.02026-09-20 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 88.3 / LA 41.02026-09-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.0 / LA 1.02026-09-22 · field out · CH · popup · EV 66.4 / LA 54.02026-09-22 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 73.0 / LA 16.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Eaton, Nate · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 45%45%Chase: 32%32%Whiff: 31%31%Zone contact: 77%77%Contact: 69%69%Hard hit: 31%31% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height5' 11"
Weight200 lb
Debut2022-07-14
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.026
wOBA Δ+0.029
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-06-21Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding32026-09-204 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.397
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.259 xwOBA | 6 HRProjection
2026-03-22 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, 2 K, R
2026-03-21 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-2 | K
2026-03-20 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1 | K
2026-03-19 vs MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-3 | K