Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 30 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 215 lb |
| Debut | 2023-05-01 |
Player profile / Cleveland Guardians
David Fry
RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 215 lb · Age 30
Club Cleveland Guardians
Position RF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 392 | 44 | 88 | 14 | 4 | .263 | .356 | .448 | .804 |
| 2025 | 157 | 16 | 25 | 8 | 1 | .171 | .229 | .363 | .592 |
| 2026 | 214 | 23 | 37 | 8 | 0 | .201 | .313 | .364 | .677 |
| 4 Seasons | 876 | 95 | 174 | 34 | 7 | .227 | .318 | .407 | .725 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
26
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.295 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.270 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.282 |
| Observed weight | 51% |
xwOBA
0.248
0.264
0.282
0.300
0.316
wOBA
0.300
0.319
0.340
0.362
0.381
ISO
0.134
0.155
0.178
0.201
0.221
K%
22.3%
23.9%
25.7%
27.5%
29.1%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.0%
35
-16 vs proj
Exit velocity86.1
30
Hard-hit%36.1%
39
xBA0.262
9
xSLG0.431
24
xwOBA0.270
18
-29 vs proj
BB%12.8%
91
+39 vs proj
Bat speed68.7
37
K%26.5%
29
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.0 · LF
25
Arm Strength100.6 · LF
94
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
50
Range Runs0.7 · LF
54
Blocking Runs-0.7 · LF
Small sample
Catcher Throwing-0.4 · LF
Small sample
Framing Runs-0.3 · LF
Small sample
Pop Time1.9 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.3 · LF
22
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.1% · rebadged research
64
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.6% · rebadged research
26
Correct Decisions65.2% · rebadged research
41
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.319 · borderline
12
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · insufficient sample
86
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284 · validated thin sample
35
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.340 · insufficient sample
19
Resists FastballwOBA 0.335 · validated
57
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.377 · validated
14
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
51
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
98 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.030 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.041 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Fry’s wOBA sits at 0.340, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.270 — a gap of 0.071, -2.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 226 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 7 | 2026-09-24 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.095 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-05-20 @ DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | BB |
| 2026-04-14 @ STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-13 @ STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | BB, K, 2 R |
| 2026-04-12 @ ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 3 K |
| 2026-04-11 @ ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | K |