Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Diego Padres Refreshed Sep 28 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Diego Padres

Randy Vásquez

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 165 lb · Age 27

Cards
22
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club San Diego Padres Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024474.872020098.0621.51
2025673.8428260133.2781.32
20261063.9032230140.2871.27
4 Seasons22224.0291740410.02601.34
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
44
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
35
Arsenal7 metrics
76
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-28
ERA preseason4.50
ERA current pace4.01
ERA rolling p504.15
Observed weight72%
ERA
2.76 3.42 4.15 4.88 5.53
FIP
3.47 3.91 4.41 4.90 5.34
K%
13.8% 14.6% 15.5% 16.4% 17.2%
BB%
5.3% 5.8% 6.4% 7.0% 7.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.28
60
ERA4.01
51
BB%5.9%
90 +32 vs proj
K%15.1%
6
xwOBA allowed0.356
11
Barrel allowed9.8%
16
Fastball velo95.1
60
Hard-hit allowed43.9%
16
Whiff%16.7%
7
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-28
Cutter Stuff+106
88
Fastball Stuff+106
77
Mithrandir Stuff+106
87
Sinker Stuff+106
81
Changeup Stuff+100
40
Curveball Stuff+105
89
Slider Stuff+105
73
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Vásquez, Randy · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.356 2026-09-14: 0.3572026-09-18: 0.3592026-09-19: 0.3592026-09-20: 0.3592026-09-21: 0.3582026-09-22: 0.3582026-09-23: 0.3582026-09-24: 0.3582026-09-25: 0.3582026-09-26: 0.3582026-09-27: 0.3582026-09-28: 0.356 2026-09-14 2026-09-28 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

7Pitches 2026Season 32%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Vásquez, Randy · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 100%100%Chase: ----Whiff: 0%0%Zone contact: 100%100%Contact: 100%100%Hard hit: 0%0% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Vásquez, Randy · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 32.0%Cutter: 24.0%Sinker: 16.5%Changeup: 8.7%Curveball: 8.4%Slider: 5.8% FF32% · 95 mphprimary pitch FF 32%FC 24%SI 16%CH 9%CU 8%SL 6% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Vásquez, Randy · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 32% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 95.1 mphFF95 mphCutter: 24% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 91.0 mphFC91 mphSinker: 16% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 19″ drop, 95.1 mphSI95 mphChangeup: 9% usage, 16″ horizontal break, 30″ drop, 88.6 mphCH89 mphCurveball: 8% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 42″ drop, 84.0 mphCU84 mphSlider: 6% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 86.0 mphSL86 mphSweeper: 5% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 84.3 mphST84 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 30.5% 472 106 qualified
FC 23.7% 368 106 qualified
SI 17.9% 277 106 qualified
SL 10.5% 162 105 limited sample
CH 9.5% 147 100 limited sample
CB 8.0% 124 105 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 0"
Weight165 lb
Debut2023-05-26
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.07
K% Δ-0.011

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.3σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.350
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.356

Vásquez’s wOBA-against sits at 0.350, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.356 — a gap of 0.007, -0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 147 IP. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching222026-09-27Command and chase profile drove the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202616.3% K | 5.08 ERAProjection
2026-08-15 @ CLE4 ER / 5 K5.0 IP
2026-05-20 vs LAD3 ER / 0 K4.1 IP
2026-04-15 vs SEA4 ER / 6 K4.0 IP
2026-04-09 vs COL1 ER / 8 K5.2 IP
2026-04-04 @ BOS1 ER / 3 K6.0 IP