Mithrandir Metrics
Player Detroit Tigers Refreshed Sep 28 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Detroit Tigers

Eduardo Valencia

DH · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 180 lb · Age 26

Cards
4
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Detroit Tigers Position DH Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026138254480.341.380.6361.016
1 Seasons138254480.341.380.6361.016
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
92
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
77
Defense5 metrics
59
Speed1 metrics
5
Plate skills10 metrics
52
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%11.3%
100
Exit velocity89.8
75
Hard-hit%48.5%
90
xBA0.379
96
xSLG0.726
97
xwOBA0.372
97
BB%4.2%
10
Bat speed71.3
75
K%22.5%
53
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.5 · C
70
Catcher Throwing-0.6 · C
38
Framing Runs2.1 · C
72
Outs Above Avg0.0 · C
68
Pop Time1.9 · C
46
Range Runs0.1 · C
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.0 · C
5
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-28
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.9% · rebadged research
48
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.5% · rebadged research
84
Correct Decisions69.5% · rebadged research
82
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.282 · borderline
67
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.338 · insufficient sample
0
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.330 · validated thin sample
2
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
38
Resists FastballwOBA 0.336 · validated
54
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.345 · validated
76
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
66
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Valencia, Eduardo · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.372 2026-09-14: 0.3292026-09-18: 0.3382026-09-19: 0.3392026-09-20: 0.3392026-09-21: 0.3422026-09-22: 0.3512026-09-23: 0.3572026-09-24: 0.3542026-09-25: 0.3542026-09-26: 0.3692026-09-27: 0.3672026-09-28: 0.372 2026-09-14 2026-09-28 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

71 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Valencia, Eduardo · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 25% of plotted batted ballsPull 25%Center field third: 59% of plotted batted ballsCenter 59%Right field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsOppo 15% LF 345 CF 420 RF 330 2026-03-16 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.1 / LA -15.02026-03-18 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 84.1 / LA 49.02026-03-24 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 100.4 / LA 28.02026-03-24 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA 5.02026-07-31 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 80.2 / LA 12.02026-08-02 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 112.4 / LA 18.02026-08-02 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 57.1 / LA -27.02026-08-02 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 102.5 / LA 22.02026-08-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 47.5 / LA -8.02026-08-05 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA 4.02026-08-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 28.02026-08-08 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.1 / LA 27.02026-08-08 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 105.8 / LA 18.02026-08-13 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 33.02026-08-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 32.02026-08-14 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 79.9 / LA 24.02026-08-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.5 / LA -27.02026-08-14 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.0 / LA 6.02026-08-15 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 105.1 / LA 12.02026-08-15 · field out · SI · popup · EV 56.1 / LA 48.02026-08-15 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 103.3 / LA 38.02026-08-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.0 / LA -13.02026-08-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.8 / LA -14.02026-08-21 · field out · FC · popup · EV 67.8 / LA 51.02026-08-23 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 43.2 / LA -51.02026-08-23 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 35.02026-08-23 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 93.9 / LA -18.02026-08-23 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 103.1 / LA 18.02026-08-29 · field out · FC · popup · EV 84.3 / LA 78.02026-08-29 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 66.9 / LA -14.02026-08-29 · field out · FF · popup · EV 67.7 / LA 80.02026-09-02 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 8.02026-09-02 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA 2.02026-09-02 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.8 / LA 27.02026-09-02 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 106.1 / LA 14.02026-09-04 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 82.3 / LA 8.02026-09-04 · fielders choice out · FS · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA -4.02026-09-04 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 75.7 / LA -4.02026-09-04 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 91.2 / LA 6.02026-09-04 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 71.5 / LA 10.02026-09-07 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 0.02026-09-08 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 79.3 / LA 12.02026-09-08 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 97.0 / LA 39.02026-09-08 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 103.2 / LA 35.02026-09-08 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 91.9 / LA 23.02026-09-12 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 91.3 / LA 24.02026-09-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.4 / LA -6.02026-09-12 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 72.3 / LA 24.02026-09-12 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 98.4 / LA 18.02026-09-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.3 / LA 45.02026-09-18 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 100.4 / LA 7.02026-09-18 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 99.8 / LA 19.02026-09-20 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 106.9 / LA 3.02026-09-20 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 91.7 / LA 18.02026-09-20 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.4 / LA 16.02026-09-20 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.2 / LA 36.02026-09-21 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 96.8 / LA 16.02026-09-21 · double · FC · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA -1.02026-09-21 · double · KC · ground_ball · EV 82.7 / LA 8.02026-09-21 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 88.2 / LA 13.02026-09-22 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 87.1 / LA 8.02026-09-22 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 104.8 / LA 30.02026-09-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 61.3 / LA 0.02026-09-25 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 106.3 / LA 13.02026-09-25 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 63.9 / LA 28.02026-09-26 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 35.02026-09-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 4.02026-09-26 · grounded into double play · FS · ground_ball · EV 103.4 / LA -3.02026-09-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.5 / LA -22.02026-09-27 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 109.8 / LA 29.02026-09-27 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 70.7 / LA -15.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Valencia, Eduardo · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 35%35%Whiff: 24%24%Zone contact: 82%82%Contact: 76%76%Hard hit: 49%49% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age26
Height6' 1"
Weight180 lb
Debut2026-07-09
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ--
wOBA Δ--

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-2.2σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.451
xwOBA (deserved)0.372

Valencia’s wOBA sits at 0.451, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.372 — a gap of 0.079, -2.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 142 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-09-21Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding32026-08-311 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.353
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-08-15 vs CWS1 HR | 2 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E2-4 | HR, K, 2 RBI