Mithrandir Metrics
Player Texas Rangers Refreshed Sep 29 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Texas Rangers

Justin Foscue

2B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 205 lb · Age 27

Cards
14
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Texas Rangers Position 2B Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024443200.048.091.071.162
202590100.111.111.222.333
20262472661110.271.332.484.816
3 Seasons3002964110.232.290.413.703
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
72
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
60
Defense3 metrics
42
Speed1 metrics
53
Plate skills10 metrics
46
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-29
xwOBA preseason0.210
xwOBA current pace0.325
xwOBA rolling p500.272
Observed weight54%
xwOBA
0.218 0.244 0.272 0.300 0.325
wOBA
0.320 0.338 0.359 0.379 0.397
ISO
0.108 0.131 0.156 0.182 0.204
K%
22.6% 25.9% 29.5% 33.2% 36.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.6%
76 +46 vs proj
Exit velocity89.2
65
Hard-hit%41.1%
63 +51 vs proj
xBA0.338
73
xSLG0.601
80
xwOBA0.325
73 +66 vs proj
BB%7.0%
33
Bat speed69.4
46
K%25.7%
35 +30 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength78.7 · 2B
3
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
47
Range Runs2.2 · 2B
77
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.6 · 2B
53
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-29
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.2% · rebadged research
54
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.7% · rebadged research
34
Correct Decisions66.3% · rebadged research
53
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.282 · borderline
66
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.306 · insufficient sample
7
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.260 · validated thin sample
89
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.370 · insufficient sample
2
Resists FastballwOBA 0.319 · validated
84
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.370 · validated
24
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
46
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Foscue, Justin · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.301 0.325 2026-09-18: 0.3272026-09-19: 0.3272026-09-20: 0.3272026-09-21: 0.3282026-09-22: 0.3282026-09-23: 0.3272026-09-24: 0.3272026-09-25: 0.3272026-09-26: 0.3282026-09-27: 0.3262026-09-28: 0.3252026-09-29: 0.325 2026-09-18 2026-09-29 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

108 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Foscue, Justin · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 22% of plotted batted ballsPull 22%Center field third: 67% of plotted batted ballsCenter 67%Right field third: 11% of plotted batted ballsOppo 11% LF 329 CF 407 RF 326 2026-03-15 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 74.7 / LA 44.02026-03-15 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 35.02026-03-21 · field out · ST · popup · EV 81.6 / LA 79.02026-03-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.9 / LA 57.02026-05-05 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 83.9 / LA -34.02026-05-08 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 98.2 / LA 14.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.7 / LA 27.02026-05-09 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA -5.02026-05-09 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 106.2 / LA 22.02026-05-09 · force out · CU · ground_ball · EV 95.3 / LA -15.02026-05-10 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 98.6 / LA 2.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.1 / LA 30.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.4 / LA 2.02026-05-15 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 80.6 / LA -13.02026-05-15 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 80.1 / LA 14.02026-05-16 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 87.8 / LA 16.02026-05-16 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 29.02026-05-17 · field out · SV · fly_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 24.02026-05-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 61.9 / LA -10.02026-05-18 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 29.02026-05-18 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 102.5 / LA 15.02026-05-18 · double · CU · fly_ball · EV 105.3 / LA 24.02026-05-19 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 106.9 / LA 21.02026-05-19 · field out · ST · popup · EV 82.4 / LA 77.02026-05-19 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 86.5 / LA 21.02026-05-19 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.0 / LA 35.02026-05-20 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 92.2 / LA -7.02026-05-20 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 97.6 / LA 14.02026-05-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 2.02026-05-22 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 90.6 / LA 16.02026-05-22 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 70.7 / LA 19.02026-05-23 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 86.5 / LA 50.02026-05-24 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 101.4 / LA 15.02026-05-24 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 87.9 / LA 2.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA -2.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 30.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · popup · EV 91.0 / LA 66.02026-05-26 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 88.4 / LA -9.02026-05-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 60.7 / LA 34.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 73.9 / LA 40.02026-05-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.2 / LA -22.02026-05-27 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.8 / LA -3.02026-06-05 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 97.2 / LA 10.02026-06-07 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 94.1 / LA 33.02026-06-07 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 80.0 / LA 32.02026-06-07 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 25.02026-06-18 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 102.8 / LA 27.02026-06-22 · field out · SL · popup · EV 75.1 / LA 62.02026-06-24 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 105.8 / LA 18.02026-06-26 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 82.1 / LA 13.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.6 / LA -28.02026-06-26 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 104.8 / LA 28.02026-07-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 58.5 / LA -45.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.2 / LA 18.02026-07-01 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 47.1 / LA -78.02026-07-31 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 88.1 / LA 44.02026-08-02 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 66.1 / LA -23.02026-08-05 · triple · SL · ground_ball · EV 95.9 / LA -14.02026-08-05 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA 1.02026-08-11 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 103.0 / LA 16.02026-08-13 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA -10.02026-08-13 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 103.5 / LA 48.02026-08-13 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 89.8 / LA 41.02026-08-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 72.0 / LA -12.02026-08-14 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 70.3 / LA 53.02026-08-16 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 67.1 / LA -31.02026-08-16 · field out · FF · popup · EV 92.3 / LA 72.02026-08-16 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 100.9 / LA 22.02026-08-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.8 / LA 44.02026-08-21 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 29.02026-08-21 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 91.9 / LA -19.02026-08-23 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 86.0 / LA -16.02026-08-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 73.5 / LA 32.02026-08-24 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 84.0 / LA -5.02026-08-24 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 48.02026-08-24 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 105.0 / LA 12.02026-08-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 96.3 / LA 78.02026-08-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.2 / LA 43.02026-08-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 88.2 / LA 38.02026-08-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.0 / LA 62.02026-08-29 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.9 / LA 4.02026-08-31 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.7 / LA 25.02026-08-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.7 / LA 57.02026-09-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.5 / LA -10.02026-09-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 37.02026-09-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.6 / LA 33.02026-09-02 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 107.3 / LA 22.02026-09-03 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 1.02026-09-04 · field out · FC · popup · EV 88.2 / LA 70.02026-09-04 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 95.6 / LA 14.02026-09-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.9 / LA -8.02026-09-05 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 97.5 / LA 11.02026-09-06 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.2 / LA 38.02026-09-06 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.0 / LA 26.02026-09-06 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA -3.02026-09-06 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 82.4 / LA 15.02026-09-08 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 70.6 / LA -54.02026-09-08 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 6.02026-09-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.1 / LA 50.02026-09-09 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 74.8 / LA 35.02026-09-09 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.2 / LA 12.02026-09-13 · field error · CU · ground_ball · EV 91.4 / LA -6.02026-09-13 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 4.02026-09-20 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 89.7 / LA 20.02026-09-20 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 68.4 / LA 22.02026-09-22 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 67.8 / LA -9.02026-09-25 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 7.02026-09-27 · field out · CH · popup · EV 79.5 / LA 70.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Foscue, Justin · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 52%52%Chase: 28%28%Whiff: 19%19%Zone contact: 88%88%Contact: 81%81%Hard hit: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height5' 11"
Weight205 lb
Debut2024-04-05
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.083
wOBA Δ+0.117

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.1σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.359
xwOBA (deserved)0.325

Foscue’s wOBA sits at 0.359, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.325 — a gap of 0.034, -1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 257 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-08-25Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Fielding122026-09-225 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.815
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.241 xwOBA | 6 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E3-5 | 2 K, R