Mithrandir Metrics
Player WSH Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / WSH

José Tena

Player · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 10", 195 lb · Age 25

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club WSH Position -- Roster profile Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024168144336.267.298.354.652
2025169193703.243.314.355.669
2026288365776.222.302.370.672
4 Seasons659711441015.240.303.358.661
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
64
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
60
Defense1 metrics
27
Speed4 metrics
44
Plate skills12 metrics
43
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
xwOBA preseason0.316
xwOBA current pace0.291
xwOBA rolling p500.302
Observed weight58%
xwOBA
0.273 0.287 0.302 0.317 0.330
wOBA
0.277 0.293 0.311 0.329 0.345
ISO
0.109 0.124 0.140 0.157 0.172
K%
24.9% 26.4% 28.1% 29.7% 31.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.6%
46
Exit velocity90.4
83
Hard-hit%45.3%
82
xBA0.341
75
xSLG0.540
62
xwOBA0.291
36 -29 vs proj
BB%8.9%
56 +21 vs proj
Bat speed72.1
80
K%30.4%
16 -48 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 2B
27
Arm Runs0.3 · 2B
Small sample
Range Runs-2.1 · 2B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.6 · DH
56
Bolts2.0 · DH
26
SB Success Rate75.0% · DH
35
Sprint Speed27.8 · DH
59
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.7% · rebadged research
41
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.6% · rebadged research
37
Correct Decisions64.8% · rebadged research
35
Fastball Stuff+52
0
Mithrandir Stuff+43
1
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.268 · borderline
89
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.265 · insufficient sample
88
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.249 · validated thin sample
96
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.343 · insufficient sample
17
Resists FastballwOBA 0.331 · validated
65
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.382 · validated
11
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
34
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Tena, José · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.291 2026-09-13: 0.2972026-09-14: 0.2962026-09-18: 0.2932026-09-19: 0.2922026-09-20: 0.2922026-09-21: 0.2922026-09-22: 0.2922026-09-23: 0.2922026-09-24: 0.2922026-09-25: 0.2922026-09-26: 0.2922026-09-27: 0.291 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

1Pitches 2026Season 100%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Tena, José · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 29%29%Whiff: 30%30%Zone contact: 80%80%Contact: 70%70%Hard hit: 45%45% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Tena, José · 2026 arsenal snapshot Other: 100.0% FA100% · 39 mphprimary pitch FA 100% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Tena, José · 2026 arsenal snapshot 6″12″18″24″ Other: 100% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 38.9 mphFA39 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 100.0% 11 52 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.024
wOBA Δ-0.004

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.7σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.311
xwOBA (deserved)0.291

Tena’s wOBA sits at 0.311, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.291 — a gap of 0.020, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 303 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-08-19Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.315 xwOBA | 5 HRProjection