Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 183 lb |
| Debut | 2023-07-25 |
Player profile / Athletics
Alika Williams
SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 183 lb · Age 27
Club Athletics
Position SS
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 112 | 7 | 20 | 0 | 0 | .198 | .270 | .248 | .518 |
| 2024 | 96 | 13 | 18 | 0 | 1 | .207 | .242 | .299 | .541 |
| 2026 | 231 | 29 | 58 | 4 | 2 | .270 | .307 | .428 | .735 |
| 3 Seasons | 439 | 49 | 96 | 4 | 3 | .238 | .284 | .355 | .639 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
11
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.250 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.248 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.249 |
| Observed weight | 52% |
xwOBA
0.194
0.220
0.249
0.277
0.303
wOBA
0.298
0.317
0.337
0.357
0.376
ISO
0.095
0.113
0.133
0.153
0.171
K%
18.9%
21.3%
23.9%
26.5%
28.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%0.8%
3
-24 vs proj
Exit velocity83.3
9
Hard-hit%31.8%
23
xBA0.283
15
xSLG0.390
10
xwOBA0.248
8
BB%4.9%
13
-15 vs proj
Bat speed66.7
20
K%21.8%
57
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · SS
41
Arm Strength83.7 · SS
23
Outs Above Avg3.0 · SS
85
Range Runs1.8 · SS
73
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · SS
44
Sprint Speed28.0 · SS
65
SB Success Rate66.7% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.8% · rebadged research
23
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.7% · rebadged research
10
Correct Decisions62.4% · rebadged research
19
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · borderline
39
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
35
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
54
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.341 · insufficient sample
18
Resists FastballwOBA 0.337 · validated
51
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.353 · validated
62
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline90
11
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
95 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.003 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.093 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Williams’s wOBA sits at 0.337, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.248 — a gap of 0.089, -2.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 243 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 21 | 2026-09-23 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.246 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.244 xwOBA | 4 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2B, K, R |
| 2026-05-20 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 |